Super Energy (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1,991
| SURE Stock | IDR 2,310 80.00 3.35% |
Super |
Super Energy Target Price Odds to finish below 1,991
The tendency of Super Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move below current price in 90 days |
| 2,310 | 90 days | 2,310 | about 12.66 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Super Energy to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 12.66 (This Super Energy Tbk probability density function shows the probability of Super Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Super Energy has a beta of 0.0464. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Super Energy average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Super Energy Tbk will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Super Energy Tbk has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Super Energy Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Super Energy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Super Energy Tbk. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Super Energy Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Super Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Super Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Super Energy Tbk, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Super Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.11 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.05 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 111.51 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
Super Energy Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Super Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Super Energy Tbk can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Super Energy Tbk generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Super Energy Tbk has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the revenue of 339.31 B. Net Loss for the year was (56.67 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 49.03 B. | |
| Super Energy Tbk has accumulated about 440.9 B in cash with (25.66 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 294.41. | |
| Roughly 92.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Super Energy Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Super Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Super Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Super Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.5 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 382.8 B |
Super Energy Technical Analysis
Super Energy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Super Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Super Energy Tbk. In general, you should focus on analyzing Super Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Super Energy Predictive Forecast Models
Super Energy's time-series forecasting models is one of many Super Energy's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Super Energy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Super Energy Tbk
Checking the ongoing alerts about Super Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Super Energy Tbk help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Super Energy Tbk generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Super Energy Tbk has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the revenue of 339.31 B. Net Loss for the year was (56.67 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 49.03 B. | |
| Super Energy Tbk has accumulated about 440.9 B in cash with (25.66 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 294.41. | |
| Roughly 92.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Super Stock
Super Energy financial ratios help investors to determine whether Super Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Super with respect to the benefits of owning Super Energy security.