Silvaco Group, Common Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 22.85
| SVCO Stock | 8.27 0.06 0.72% |
Silvaco |
Silvaco Group, Target Price Odds to finish over 22.85
The tendency of Silvaco Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 22.85 or more in 90 days |
| 8.27 | 90 days | 22.85 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Silvaco Group, to move over 22.85 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Silvaco Group, Common probability density function shows the probability of Silvaco Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Silvaco Group, Common price to stay between its current price of 8.27 and 22.85 at the end of the 90-day period is about 66.78 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Silvaco Group, has a beta of 0.89. This usually implies Silvaco Group, Common market returns are highly reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Silvaco Group, is expected to follow. Additionally Silvaco Group, Common has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Silvaco Group, Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Silvaco Group,
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Silvaco Group, Common. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Silvaco Group,'s price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Silvaco Group, Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Silvaco Group, is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Silvaco Group,'s value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Silvaco Group, Common, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Silvaco Group, within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.81 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.89 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.25 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.16 |
Silvaco Group, Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Silvaco Group, for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Silvaco Group, Common can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Silvaco Group, generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Silvaco Group, has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 54.25 M. Net Loss for the year was (316 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Silvaco Group, has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Silvaco Group, Inc. Announcement Silvaco Group, Inc. ... |
Silvaco Group, Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Silvaco Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Silvaco Group,'s investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Silvaco Group,'s indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 28.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 4.4 M |
Silvaco Group, Technical Analysis
Silvaco Group,'s future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Silvaco Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Silvaco Group, Common. In general, you should focus on analyzing Silvaco Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Silvaco Group, Predictive Forecast Models
Silvaco Group,'s time-series forecasting models is one of many Silvaco Group,'s stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Silvaco Group,'s historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Silvaco Group, Common
Checking the ongoing alerts about Silvaco Group, for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Silvaco Group, Common help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Silvaco Group, generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Silvaco Group, has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 54.25 M. Net Loss for the year was (316 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Silvaco Group, has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Silvaco Group, Inc. Announcement Silvaco Group, Inc. ... |
Check out Silvaco Group, Backtesting, Silvaco Group, Valuation, Silvaco Group, Correlation, Silvaco Group, Hype Analysis, Silvaco Group, Volatility, Silvaco Group, History as well as Silvaco Group, Performance. You can also try the Portfolio File Import module to quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format.
Is Systems Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Silvaco Group,. If investors know Silvaco will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Silvaco Group, listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (1.44) | Revenue Per Share 2.749 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.194 | Return On Assets (0.14) | Return On Equity (0.67) |
The market value of Silvaco Group, Common is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Silvaco that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Silvaco Group,'s value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Silvaco Group,'s true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Silvaco Group,'s market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Silvaco Group,'s underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Silvaco Group,'s value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Silvaco Group, is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Silvaco Group,'s price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.