Silver Grail Resources Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 22.10

SVGAF Stock  USD 0.07  0.00  0.00%   
Silver Grail's future price is the expected price of Silver Grail instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Silver Grail Resources performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Silver Grail Backtesting, Silver Grail Valuation, Silver Grail Correlation, Silver Grail Hype Analysis, Silver Grail Volatility, Silver Grail History as well as Silver Grail Performance.
  
Please specify Silver Grail's target price for which you would like Silver Grail odds to be computed.

Silver Grail Target Price Odds to finish over 22.10

The tendency of Silver Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 22.10  or more in 90 days
 0.07 90 days 22.10 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Silver Grail to move over $ 22.10  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Silver Grail Resources probability density function shows the probability of Silver Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Silver Grail Resources price to stay between its current price of $ 0.07  and $ 22.10  at the end of the 90-day period is about 59.25 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Silver Grail Resources has a beta of -0.8. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Silver Grail are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Silver Grail Resources is likely to outperform the market. Moreover Silver Grail Resources has an alpha of 1.4239, implying that it can generate a 1.42 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Silver Grail Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Silver Grail

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Silver Grail Resources. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0722.06
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0522.04
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
00.0722.06
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.040.070.09
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Silver Grail. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Silver Grail's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Silver Grail's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Silver Grail Resources.

Silver Grail Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Silver Grail is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Silver Grail's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Silver Grail Resources, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Silver Grail within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
1.42
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.8
σ
Overall volatility
0.02
Ir
Information ratio 0.06

Silver Grail Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Silver Grail for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Silver Grail Resources can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Silver Grail is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Silver Grail has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Silver Grail appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Silver Grail has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (829.33 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Silver Grail Resources has accumulated about 103.22 K in cash with (276.96 K) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 23.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Silver Grail Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Silver Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Silver Grail's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Silver Grail's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding33.1 M

Silver Grail Technical Analysis

Silver Grail's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Silver Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Silver Grail Resources. In general, you should focus on analyzing Silver Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Silver Grail Predictive Forecast Models

Silver Grail's time-series forecasting models is one of many Silver Grail's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Silver Grail's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Silver Grail Resources

Checking the ongoing alerts about Silver Grail for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Silver Grail Resources help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Silver Grail is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Silver Grail has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Silver Grail appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Silver Grail has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (829.33 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Silver Grail Resources has accumulated about 103.22 K in cash with (276.96 K) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 23.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Silver Pink Sheet

Silver Grail financial ratios help investors to determine whether Silver Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Silver with respect to the benefits of owning Silver Grail security.