Swire Properties (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1.99
| SW9 Stock | EUR 1.91 0.02 1.06% |
Swire |
Swire Properties Target Price Odds to finish below 1.99
The tendency of Swire Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under € 1.99 after 90 days |
| 1.91 | 90 days | 1.99 | about 90.26 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Swire Properties to stay under € 1.99 after 90 days from now is about 90.26 (This Swire Properties Limited probability density function shows the probability of Swire Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Swire Properties price to stay between its current price of € 1.91 and € 1.99 at the end of the 90-day period is about 8.73 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Swire Properties Limited has a beta of -1.5. This usually implies as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Swire Properties Limited are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Swire Properties is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally Swire Properties Limited has an alpha of 0.9097, implying that it can generate a 0.91 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Swire Properties Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Swire Properties
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Swire Properties. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Swire Properties Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Swire Properties is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Swire Properties' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Swire Properties Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Swire Properties within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.91 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -1.5 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.20 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.15 |
Swire Properties Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Swire Properties for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Swire Properties can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Swire Properties may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Swire Properties appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 82.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Swire Properties Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Swire Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Swire Properties' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Swire Properties' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 5.8 B |
Swire Properties Technical Analysis
Swire Properties' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Swire Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Swire Properties Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing Swire Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Swire Properties Predictive Forecast Models
Swire Properties' time-series forecasting models is one of many Swire Properties' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Swire Properties' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Swire Properties
Checking the ongoing alerts about Swire Properties for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Swire Properties help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Swire Properties may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Swire Properties appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 82.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Swire Stock
Swire Properties financial ratios help investors to determine whether Swire Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Swire with respect to the benefits of owning Swire Properties security.