Sriwahana (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 16.0
| SWAT Stock | IDR 27.00 1.00 3.57% |
Sriwahana |
Sriwahana Target Price Odds to finish over 16.0
The tendency of Sriwahana Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 16.00 in 90 days |
| 27.00 | 90 days | 16.00 | about 88.38 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sriwahana to stay above 16.00 in 90 days from now is about 88.38 (This Sriwahana probability density function shows the probability of Sriwahana Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Sriwahana price to stay between 16.00 and its current price of 27.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 49.03 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.19 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Sriwahana will likely underperform. Moreover Sriwahana has an alpha of 1.2431, implying that it can generate a 1.24 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Sriwahana Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Sriwahana
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sriwahana. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sriwahana Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sriwahana is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sriwahana's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sriwahana, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sriwahana within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 1.24 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.19 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 7.51 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.22 |
Sriwahana Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sriwahana for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sriwahana can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Sriwahana is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Sriwahana appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the revenue of 283.47 B. Net Loss for the year was (70.27 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 6.72 B. | |
| Sriwahana has accumulated about 35.75 B in cash with (92.7 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 11.84. | |
| Roughly 89.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Sriwahana Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Sriwahana Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Sriwahana's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sriwahana's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 27.2 B | |
| Shares Float | 332 M |
Sriwahana Technical Analysis
Sriwahana's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sriwahana Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sriwahana. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sriwahana Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Sriwahana Predictive Forecast Models
Sriwahana's time-series forecasting models is one of many Sriwahana's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sriwahana's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Sriwahana
Checking the ongoing alerts about Sriwahana for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Sriwahana help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Sriwahana is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Sriwahana appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the revenue of 283.47 B. Net Loss for the year was (70.27 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 6.72 B. | |
| Sriwahana has accumulated about 35.75 B in cash with (92.7 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 11.84. | |
| Roughly 89.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Sriwahana Stock
Sriwahana financial ratios help investors to determine whether Sriwahana Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Sriwahana with respect to the benefits of owning Sriwahana security.