Swedbank Ab Stock Odds of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 25.53

SWDBF Stock  USD 20.51  0.60  3.01%   
Swedbank's future price is the expected price of Swedbank instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Swedbank AB performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Swedbank Backtesting, Swedbank Valuation, Swedbank Correlation, Swedbank Hype Analysis, Swedbank Volatility, Swedbank History as well as Swedbank Performance.
  
Please specify Swedbank's target price for which you would like Swedbank odds to be computed.

Swedbank Target Price Odds to finish over 25.53

The tendency of Swedbank Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 25.53  or more in 90 days
 20.51 90 days 25.53 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Swedbank to move over $ 25.53  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Swedbank AB probability density function shows the probability of Swedbank Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Swedbank AB price to stay between its current price of $ 20.51  and $ 25.53  at the end of the 90-day period is about 37.47 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Swedbank has a beta of 0.0351. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Swedbank average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Swedbank AB will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Swedbank AB has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Swedbank Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Swedbank

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Swedbank AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
18.7620.5122.26
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.8316.5822.56
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
20.0221.7723.52
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
19.1620.0020.83
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Swedbank. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Swedbank's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Swedbank's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Swedbank AB.

Swedbank Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Swedbank is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Swedbank's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Swedbank AB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Swedbank within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.04
σ
Overall volatility
0.72
Ir
Information ratio -0.08

Swedbank Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Swedbank for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Swedbank AB can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Swedbank AB generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Swedbank AB has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Swedbank AB has accumulated about 48.66 B in cash with (18.62 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 43.58, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Roughly 15.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Swedbank Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Swedbank Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Swedbank's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Swedbank's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.1 B

Swedbank Technical Analysis

Swedbank's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Swedbank Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Swedbank AB. In general, you should focus on analyzing Swedbank Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Swedbank Predictive Forecast Models

Swedbank's time-series forecasting models is one of many Swedbank's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Swedbank's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Swedbank AB

Checking the ongoing alerts about Swedbank for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Swedbank AB help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Swedbank AB generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Swedbank AB has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Swedbank AB has accumulated about 48.66 B in cash with (18.62 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 43.58, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Roughly 15.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Swedbank Pink Sheet

Swedbank financial ratios help investors to determine whether Swedbank Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Swedbank with respect to the benefits of owning Swedbank security.