Swedbank (Sweden) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 218.33
| SWED-A Stock | SEK 212.90 1.90 0.88% |
Swedbank |
Swedbank Target Price Odds to finish over 218.33
The tendency of Swedbank Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over kr 218.33 or more in 90 days |
| 212.90 | 90 days | 218.33 | about 25.52 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Swedbank to move over kr 218.33 or more in 90 days from now is about 25.52 (This Swedbank AB probability density function shows the probability of Swedbank Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Swedbank AB price to stay between its current price of kr 212.90 and kr 218.33 at the end of the 90-day period is about 40.1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Swedbank has a beta of 0.0711. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Swedbank average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Swedbank AB will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Swedbank AB has an alpha of 0.001, implying that it can generate a 0.001021 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Swedbank Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Swedbank
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Swedbank AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Swedbank Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Swedbank is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Swedbank's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Swedbank AB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Swedbank within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.07 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.12 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.07 |
Swedbank Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Swedbank for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Swedbank AB can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Swedbank AB generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Swedbank AB has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Swedbank AB has accumulated about 362.07 B in cash with (18.62 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 323.77. | |
| Roughly 15.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Swedbank Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Swedbank Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Swedbank's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Swedbank's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.1 B |
Swedbank Technical Analysis
Swedbank's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Swedbank Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Swedbank AB. In general, you should focus on analyzing Swedbank Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Swedbank Predictive Forecast Models
Swedbank's time-series forecasting models is one of many Swedbank's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Swedbank's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Swedbank AB
Checking the ongoing alerts about Swedbank for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Swedbank AB help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Swedbank AB generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Swedbank AB has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Swedbank AB has accumulated about 362.07 B in cash with (18.62 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 323.77. | |
| Roughly 15.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Swedbank Stock
Swedbank financial ratios help investors to determine whether Swedbank Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Swedbank with respect to the benefits of owning Swedbank security.