Swelect Energy (India) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 989.14
| SWELECTES | 964.15 18.50 1.88% |
Swelect |
Swelect Energy Target Price Odds to finish below 989.14
The tendency of Swelect Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 989.14 after 90 days |
| 964.15 | 90 days | 989.14 | about 5.12 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Swelect Energy to stay under 989.14 after 90 days from now is about 5.12 (This Swelect Energy Systems probability density function shows the probability of Swelect Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Swelect Energy Systems price to stay between its current price of 964.15 and 989.14 at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Swelect Energy has a beta of 0.13. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Swelect Energy average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Swelect Energy Systems will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Swelect Energy Systems has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Swelect Energy Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Swelect Energy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Swelect Energy Systems. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Swelect Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Swelect Energy Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Swelect Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Swelect Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Swelect Energy Systems, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Swelect Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.18 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.13 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 61.11 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.09 |
Swelect Energy Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Swelect Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Swelect Energy Systems can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Swelect Energy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 62.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Board of Swelect Energy Systems approves NCD issuance of Rs 138.5 cr - Capital Market Publishers India Pvt Ltd |
Swelect Energy Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Swelect Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Swelect Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Swelect Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 15.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 5.2 B |
Swelect Energy Technical Analysis
Swelect Energy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Swelect Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Swelect Energy Systems. In general, you should focus on analyzing Swelect Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Swelect Energy Predictive Forecast Models
Swelect Energy's time-series forecasting models is one of many Swelect Energy's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Swelect Energy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Swelect Energy Systems
Checking the ongoing alerts about Swelect Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Swelect Energy Systems help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Swelect Energy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 62.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Board of Swelect Energy Systems approves NCD issuance of Rs 138.5 cr - Capital Market Publishers India Pvt Ltd |
Additional Tools for Swelect Stock Analysis
When running Swelect Energy's price analysis, check to measure Swelect Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Swelect Energy is operating at the current time. Most of Swelect Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Swelect Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Swelect Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Swelect Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.