STNLY BLCKDECK (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 63.58

SWF Stock  EUR 63.58  0.00  0.00%   
STNLY BLCKDECK's future price is the expected price of STNLY BLCKDECK instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of STNLY BLCKDECK performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out STNLY BLCKDECK Analysis, STNLY BLCKDECK Valuation, STNLY BLCKDECK Correlation, STNLY BLCKDECK Hype Analysis, STNLY BLCKDECK Volatility, STNLY BLCKDECK Price History as well as STNLY BLCKDECK Performance.
  
Please specify STNLY BLCKDECK's target price for which you would like STNLY BLCKDECK odds to be computed.

STNLY BLCKDECK Target Price Odds to finish over 63.58

The tendency of STNLY Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 63.58 90 days 63.58 
about 20.87
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of STNLY BLCKDECK to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 20.87 (This STNLY BLCKDECK probability density function shows the probability of STNLY Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon STNLY BLCKDECK has a beta of 0.0578. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, STNLY BLCKDECK average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding STNLY BLCKDECK will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally STNLY BLCKDECK has an alpha of 0.0868, implying that it can generate a 0.0868 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   STNLY BLCKDECK Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for STNLY BLCKDECK

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as STNLY BLCKDECK. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
62.1063.6865.26
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
59.8761.4569.94
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
62.1463.7165.29
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
63.5863.5863.58
Details

STNLY BLCKDECK Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. STNLY BLCKDECK is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the STNLY BLCKDECK's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold STNLY BLCKDECK, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of STNLY BLCKDECK within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.09
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.06
σ
Overall volatility
3.07
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

STNLY BLCKDECK Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of STNLY BLCKDECK for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for STNLY BLCKDECK can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
STNLY BLCKDECK is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Latest headline from news.google.com: Micron and Sandisk Stocks Are on a Roll. This Is the Latest Memory-Chip Catalyst. - Barrons

STNLY BLCKDECK Technical Analysis

STNLY BLCKDECK's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. STNLY Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of STNLY BLCKDECK. In general, you should focus on analyzing STNLY Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

STNLY BLCKDECK Predictive Forecast Models

STNLY BLCKDECK's time-series forecasting models is one of many STNLY BLCKDECK's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary STNLY BLCKDECK's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about STNLY BLCKDECK

Checking the ongoing alerts about STNLY BLCKDECK for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for STNLY BLCKDECK help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
STNLY BLCKDECK is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Latest headline from news.google.com: Micron and Sandisk Stocks Are on a Roll. This Is the Latest Memory-Chip Catalyst. - Barrons

Other Information on Investing in STNLY Stock

STNLY BLCKDECK financial ratios help investors to determine whether STNLY Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in STNLY with respect to the benefits of owning STNLY BLCKDECK security.