Stanley Black (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 80.76
| SWF Stock | EUR 84.98 0.81 0.96% |
Stanley |
Stanley Black Target Price Odds to finish below 80.76
The tendency of Stanley Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 80.76 or more in 90 days |
| 84.98 | 90 days | 80.76 | nearly 4.42 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Stanley Black to drop to € 80.76 or more in 90 days from now is nearly 4.42 (This Stanley Black Decker probability density function shows the probability of Stanley Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Stanley Black Decker price to stay between € 80.76 and its current price of €84.98 at the end of the 90-day period is about 11.64 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Stanley Black has a beta of 0.42. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Stanley Black average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Stanley Black Decker will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Stanley Black Decker has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Stanley Black Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Stanley Black
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Stanley Black Decker. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Stanley Black Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Stanley Black is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Stanley Black's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Stanley Black Decker, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Stanley Black within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.15 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.42 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.95 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.13 |
Stanley Black Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Stanley Black for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Stanley Black Decker can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Stanley Black Decker generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Stanley Black Decker has accumulated €5.35 Billion in debt which can lead to volatile earnings | |
| Stanley Black Decker has accumulated 5.35 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 71.5, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Stanley Black Decker has a current ratio of 0.93, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Stanley Black until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Stanley Black's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Stanley Black Decker sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Stanley to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Stanley Black's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Stanley Black Decker has accumulated about 310.7 M in cash with (1.46 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.05. | |
| Over 91.0% of Stanley Black shares are owned by institutional investors |
Stanley Black Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Stanley Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Stanley Black's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Stanley Black's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 153 M |
Stanley Black Technical Analysis
Stanley Black's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Stanley Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Stanley Black Decker. In general, you should focus on analyzing Stanley Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Stanley Black Predictive Forecast Models
Stanley Black's time-series forecasting models is one of many Stanley Black's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Stanley Black's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Stanley Black Decker
Checking the ongoing alerts about Stanley Black for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Stanley Black Decker help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Stanley Black Decker generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Stanley Black Decker has accumulated €5.35 Billion in debt which can lead to volatile earnings | |
| Stanley Black Decker has accumulated 5.35 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 71.5, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Stanley Black Decker has a current ratio of 0.93, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Stanley Black until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Stanley Black's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Stanley Black Decker sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Stanley to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Stanley Black's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Stanley Black Decker has accumulated about 310.7 M in cash with (1.46 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.05. | |
| Over 91.0% of Stanley Black shares are owned by institutional investors |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Stanley Stock
When determining whether Stanley Black Decker is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Stanley Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Stanley Black Decker Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Stanley Black Decker Stock:Check out Stanley Black Backtesting, Stanley Black Valuation, Stanley Black Correlation, Stanley Black Hype Analysis, Stanley Black Volatility, Stanley Black History as well as Stanley Black Performance. You can also try the Aroon Oscillator module to analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios.