Swarmio Media Holdings Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 0.05
| SWMIFDelisted Stock | USD 0.01 0.00 0.00% |
Swarmio |
Swarmio Media Target Price Odds to finish below 0.05
The tendency of Swarmio Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 0.05 after 90 days |
| 0.01 | 90 days | 0.05 | about 79.26 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Swarmio Media to stay under $ 0.05 after 90 days from now is about 79.26 (This Swarmio Media Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Swarmio Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Swarmio Media Holdings price to stay between its current price of $ 0.01 and $ 0.05 at the end of the 90-day period is about 69.0 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the pink sheet has the beta coefficient of 11.02 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Swarmio Media will likely underperform. Additionally Swarmio Media Holdings has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Swarmio Media Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Swarmio Media
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Swarmio Media Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Swarmio Media Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Swarmio Media is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Swarmio Media's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Swarmio Media Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Swarmio Media within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -1.78 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 11.02 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.02 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
Swarmio Media Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Swarmio Media for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Swarmio Media Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Swarmio Media is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Swarmio Media has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Swarmio Media has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Swarmio Media Holdings has accumulated 1.28 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.97, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Swarmio Media Holdings has a current ratio of 0.87, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Swarmio Media until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Swarmio Media's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Swarmio Media Holdings sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Swarmio to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Swarmio Media's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 596.23 K. Net Loss for the year was (6.58 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (6.11 M). | |
| Swarmio Media Holdings has accumulated about 233.61 K in cash with (6.77 M) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 26.0% of Swarmio Media outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Swarmio Media Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Swarmio Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Swarmio Media's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Swarmio Media's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 97.8 M |
Swarmio Media Technical Analysis
Swarmio Media's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Swarmio Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Swarmio Media Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Swarmio Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Swarmio Media Predictive Forecast Models
Swarmio Media's time-series forecasting models is one of many Swarmio Media's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Swarmio Media's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Swarmio Media Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about Swarmio Media for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Swarmio Media Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Swarmio Media is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Swarmio Media has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Swarmio Media has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Swarmio Media Holdings has accumulated 1.28 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.97, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Swarmio Media Holdings has a current ratio of 0.87, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Swarmio Media until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Swarmio Media's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Swarmio Media Holdings sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Swarmio to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Swarmio Media's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 596.23 K. Net Loss for the year was (6.58 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (6.11 M). | |
| Swarmio Media Holdings has accumulated about 233.61 K in cash with (6.77 M) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 26.0% of Swarmio Media outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in gross domestic product. You can also try the USA ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) in USA.
Other Consideration for investing in Swarmio Pink Sheet
If you are still planning to invest in Swarmio Media Holdings check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Swarmio Media's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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