Silver Mines (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.0446

SWQ Stock  EUR 0.04  0  2.39%   
Silver Mines' future price is the expected price of Silver Mines instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Silver Mines Limited performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Silver Mines Backtesting, Silver Mines Valuation, Silver Mines Correlation, Silver Mines Hype Analysis, Silver Mines Volatility, Silver Mines History as well as Silver Mines Performance.
  
Please specify Silver Mines' target price for which you would like Silver Mines odds to be computed.

Silver Mines Target Price Odds to finish below 0.0446

The tendency of Silver Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to € 0.04  or more in 90 days
 0.04 90 days 0.04 
about 7.45
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Silver Mines to drop to € 0.04  or more in 90 days from now is about 7.45 (This Silver Mines Limited probability density function shows the probability of Silver Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Silver Mines Limited price to stay between € 0.04  and its current price of €0.045 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Silver Mines Limited has a beta of -1.88. This usually implies as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Silver Mines Limited are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Silver Mines is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally Silver Mines Limited has an alpha of 0.2832, implying that it can generate a 0.28 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Silver Mines Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Silver Mines

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Silver Mines Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.059.22
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.049.21
Details

Silver Mines Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Silver Mines is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Silver Mines' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Silver Mines Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Silver Mines within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.28
β
Beta against Dow Jones-1.88
σ
Overall volatility
0.01
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

Silver Mines Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Silver Mines for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Silver Mines Limited can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Silver Mines Limited had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Silver Mines Limited has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Silver Mines Limited has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company has a current ratio of 0.76, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Silver Mines until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Silver Mines' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Silver Mines Limited sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Silver to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Silver Mines' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Silver Mines Limited reported the revenue of 170.48 K. Net Loss for the year was (13.3 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 107.43 K.
Silver Mines Limited has accumulated about 540.06 K in cash with (1.96 M) of positive cash flow from operations.

Silver Mines Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Silver Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Silver Mines' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Silver Mines' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.3 B

Silver Mines Technical Analysis

Silver Mines' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Silver Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Silver Mines Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing Silver Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Silver Mines Predictive Forecast Models

Silver Mines' time-series forecasting models is one of many Silver Mines' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Silver Mines' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Silver Mines Limited

Checking the ongoing alerts about Silver Mines for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Silver Mines Limited help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Silver Mines Limited had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Silver Mines Limited has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Silver Mines Limited has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company has a current ratio of 0.76, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Silver Mines until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Silver Mines' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Silver Mines Limited sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Silver to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Silver Mines' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Silver Mines Limited reported the revenue of 170.48 K. Net Loss for the year was (13.3 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 107.43 K.
Silver Mines Limited has accumulated about 540.06 K in cash with (1.96 M) of positive cash flow from operations.

Other Information on Investing in Silver Stock

Silver Mines financial ratios help investors to determine whether Silver Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Silver with respect to the benefits of owning Silver Mines security.