Invesco EURO (Switzerland) Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Under 119.5

SX5E Etf  EUR 124.34  0.94  0.76%   
Invesco EURO's future price is the expected price of Invesco EURO instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Invesco EURO STOXX performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Invesco EURO Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Invesco EURO Correlation, Invesco EURO Hype Analysis, Invesco EURO Volatility, Invesco EURO History as well as Invesco EURO Performance.
  
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Invesco EURO Target Price Odds to finish below 119.5

The tendency of Invesco Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to € 119.50  or more in 90 days
 124.34 90 days 119.50 
about 21.78
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Invesco EURO to drop to € 119.50  or more in 90 days from now is about 21.78 (This Invesco EURO STOXX probability density function shows the probability of Invesco Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Invesco EURO STOXX price to stay between € 119.50  and its current price of €124.34 at the end of the 90-day period is about 70.64 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Invesco EURO has a beta of 0.0701. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Invesco EURO average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Invesco EURO STOXX will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Invesco EURO STOXX has an alpha of 0.0573, implying that it can generate a 0.0573 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Invesco EURO Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Invesco EURO

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Invesco EURO STOXX. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
123.54124.34125.14
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
122.84123.64124.44
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
126.34127.14127.94
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
116.41120.49124.57
Details

Invesco EURO Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Invesco EURO is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Invesco EURO's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Invesco EURO STOXX, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Invesco EURO within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.07
σ
Overall volatility
2.17
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

Invesco EURO Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Invesco EURO for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Invesco EURO STOXX can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains all of its assets in stocks

Invesco EURO Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Invesco Etf often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Invesco EURO's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Invesco EURO's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day86
Average Daily Volume In Three Month808

Invesco EURO Technical Analysis

Invesco EURO's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Invesco Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Invesco EURO STOXX. In general, you should focus on analyzing Invesco Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Invesco EURO Predictive Forecast Models

Invesco EURO's time-series forecasting models is one of many Invesco EURO's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Invesco EURO's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Invesco EURO STOXX

Checking the ongoing alerts about Invesco EURO for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Invesco EURO STOXX help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains all of its assets in stocks

Other Information on Investing in Invesco Etf

Invesco EURO financial ratios help investors to determine whether Invesco Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Invesco with respect to the benefits of owning Invesco EURO security.