Xinhua Winshare (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.06

SXV Stock  EUR 1.13  0.01  0.88%   
Xinhua Winshare's future price is the expected price of Xinhua Winshare instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Xinhua Winshare Publishing performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Xinhua Winshare Backtesting, Xinhua Winshare Valuation, Xinhua Winshare Correlation, Xinhua Winshare Hype Analysis, Xinhua Winshare Volatility, Xinhua Winshare History as well as Xinhua Winshare Performance.
  
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Xinhua Winshare Target Price Odds to finish below 0.06

The tendency of Xinhua Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to € 0.06  or more in 90 days
 1.13 90 days 0.06 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Xinhua Winshare to drop to € 0.06  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Xinhua Winshare Publishing probability density function shows the probability of Xinhua Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Xinhua Winshare Publ price to stay between € 0.06  and its current price of €1.13 at the end of the 90-day period is about 82.01 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Xinhua Winshare Publishing has a beta of -0.35. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Xinhua Winshare are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Xinhua Winshare Publishing is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Xinhua Winshare Publishing has an alpha of 0.325, implying that it can generate a 0.33 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Xinhua Winshare Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Xinhua Winshare

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Xinhua Winshare Publ. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.061.134.26
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.050.914.04
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.021.184.31
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.061.141.21
Details

Xinhua Winshare Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Xinhua Winshare is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Xinhua Winshare's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Xinhua Winshare Publishing, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Xinhua Winshare within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.33
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.35
σ
Overall volatility
0.12
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

Xinhua Winshare Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Xinhua Winshare for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Xinhua Winshare Publ can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Xinhua Winshare Publ may become a speculative penny stock
Xinhua Winshare Publ had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
About 21.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Xinhua Winshare Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Xinhua Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Xinhua Winshare's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Xinhua Winshare's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.2 B

Xinhua Winshare Technical Analysis

Xinhua Winshare's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Xinhua Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Xinhua Winshare Publishing. In general, you should focus on analyzing Xinhua Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Xinhua Winshare Predictive Forecast Models

Xinhua Winshare's time-series forecasting models is one of many Xinhua Winshare's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Xinhua Winshare's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Xinhua Winshare Publ

Checking the ongoing alerts about Xinhua Winshare for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Xinhua Winshare Publ help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Xinhua Winshare Publ may become a speculative penny stock
Xinhua Winshare Publ had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
About 21.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Xinhua Stock

Xinhua Winshare financial ratios help investors to determine whether Xinhua Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Xinhua with respect to the benefits of owning Xinhua Winshare security.