So Young International Stock Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.94
| SY Stock | USD 0.83 0.01 1.22% |
So Young |
So Young Target Price Odds to finish below 0.94
The tendency of So Young Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 0.94 after 90 days |
| 0.83 | 90 days | 0.94 | about 59.75 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of So Young to stay under $ 0.94 after 90 days from now is about 59.75 (This So Young International probability density function shows the probability of So Young Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of So Young International price to stay between its current price of $ 0.83 and $ 0.94 at the end of the 90-day period is about 34.62 .
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon So Young International has a beta of -0.058. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding So Young are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, So Young International is likely to outperform the market. Additionally So Young International has an alpha of 0.0157, implying that it can generate a 0.0157 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). So Young Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for So Young
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as So Young International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of So Young's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
So Young Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. So Young is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the So Young's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold So Young International, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of So Young within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.06 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.12 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
So Young Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of So Young for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for So Young International can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| So Young had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| So Young has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| About 16.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from insidermonkey.com: So-Young International Inc. Q3 2024 Earnings Call Transcript |
So Young Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of So Young Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential So Young's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. So Young's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 101.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.3 B |
So Young Technical Analysis
So Young's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. So Young Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of So Young International. In general, you should focus on analyzing So Young Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
So Young Predictive Forecast Models
So Young's time-series forecasting models is one of many So Young's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary So Young's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about So Young International
Checking the ongoing alerts about So Young for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for So Young International help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| So Young had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| So Young has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| About 16.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from insidermonkey.com: So-Young International Inc. Q3 2024 Earnings Call Transcript |
Additional Tools for So Young Stock Analysis
When running So Young's price analysis, check to measure So Young's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy So Young is operating at the current time. Most of So Young's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of So Young's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move So Young's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of So Young to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.