Sydbank AS (Denmark) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 350.11

SYDB Stock  DKK 352.80  3.60  1.01%   
Sydbank AS's future price is the expected price of Sydbank AS instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Sydbank AS performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Sydbank AS Backtesting, Sydbank AS Valuation, Sydbank AS Correlation, Sydbank AS Hype Analysis, Sydbank AS Volatility, Sydbank AS History as well as Sydbank AS Performance.
  
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Sydbank AS Target Price Odds to finish below 350.11

The tendency of Sydbank Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to kr 350.11  or more in 90 days
 352.80 90 days 350.11 
about 89.72
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sydbank AS to drop to kr 350.11  or more in 90 days from now is about 89.72 (This Sydbank AS probability density function shows the probability of Sydbank Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Sydbank AS price to stay between kr 350.11  and its current price of kr352.8 at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Sydbank AS has a beta of 0.17. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Sydbank AS average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Sydbank AS will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Sydbank AS has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Sydbank AS Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Sydbank AS

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sydbank AS. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
351.48352.80354.12
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
318.74320.06388.08
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
350.11351.43352.75
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
350.61354.00357.39
Details

Sydbank AS Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sydbank AS is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sydbank AS's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sydbank AS, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sydbank AS within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.17
σ
Overall volatility
10.32
Ir
Information ratio -0.08

Sydbank AS Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sydbank AS for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sydbank AS can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Sydbank AS has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Sydbank AS has accumulated about 57.51 B in cash with (3.29 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 970.04.

Sydbank AS Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Sydbank Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Sydbank AS's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sydbank AS's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding59.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments22.8 B

Sydbank AS Technical Analysis

Sydbank AS's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sydbank Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sydbank AS. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sydbank Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Sydbank AS Predictive Forecast Models

Sydbank AS's time-series forecasting models is one of many Sydbank AS's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sydbank AS's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Sydbank AS

Checking the ongoing alerts about Sydbank AS for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Sydbank AS help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Sydbank AS has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Sydbank AS has accumulated about 57.51 B in cash with (3.29 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 970.04.

Other Information on Investing in Sydbank Stock

Sydbank AS financial ratios help investors to determine whether Sydbank Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Sydbank with respect to the benefits of owning Sydbank AS security.