Sydinvest Virksomhedsoblig (Denmark) Probability of Future Fund Price Finishing Under 86.80

SYIVOHYADKK  DKK 87.10  0.06  0.07%   
Sydinvest Virksomhedsoblig's future price is the expected price of Sydinvest Virksomhedsoblig instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Sydinvest Virksomhedsobligationer HY performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Sydinvest Virksomhedsoblig Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Sydinvest Virksomhedsoblig Correlation, Sydinvest Virksomhedsoblig Hype Analysis, Sydinvest Virksomhedsoblig Volatility, Sydinvest Virksomhedsoblig History as well as Sydinvest Virksomhedsoblig Performance.
  
Please specify Sydinvest Virksomhedsoblig's target price for which you would like Sydinvest Virksomhedsoblig odds to be computed.

Sydinvest Virksomhedsoblig Target Price Odds to finish below 86.80

The tendency of Sydinvest Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to kr 86.80  or more in 90 days
 87.10 90 days 86.80 
about 63.83
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sydinvest Virksomhedsoblig to drop to kr 86.80  or more in 90 days from now is about 63.83 (This Sydinvest Virksomhedsobligationer HY probability density function shows the probability of Sydinvest Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Sydinvest Virksomhedsoblig price to stay between kr 86.80  and its current price of kr87.1 at the end of the 90-day period is about 17.06 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Sydinvest Virksomhedsoblig has a beta of 0.0351. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Sydinvest Virksomhedsoblig average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Sydinvest Virksomhedsobligationer HY will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Sydinvest Virksomhedsobligationer HY has an alpha of 0.0129, implying that it can generate a 0.0129 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Sydinvest Virksomhedsoblig Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Sydinvest Virksomhedsoblig

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sydinvest Virksomhedsoblig. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
86.8887.1087.32
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
79.7880.0095.81
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
86.9787.1987.42
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
86.8886.9787.07
Details

Sydinvest Virksomhedsoblig Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sydinvest Virksomhedsoblig is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sydinvest Virksomhedsoblig's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sydinvest Virksomhedsobligationer HY, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sydinvest Virksomhedsoblig within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.04
σ
Overall volatility
0.56
Ir
Information ratio -0.44

Sydinvest Virksomhedsoblig Technical Analysis

Sydinvest Virksomhedsoblig's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sydinvest Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sydinvest Virksomhedsobligationer HY. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sydinvest Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Sydinvest Virksomhedsoblig Predictive Forecast Models

Sydinvest Virksomhedsoblig's time-series forecasting models is one of many Sydinvest Virksomhedsoblig's fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sydinvest Virksomhedsoblig's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Sydinvest Virksomhedsoblig in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Sydinvest Virksomhedsoblig's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Sydinvest Virksomhedsoblig options trading.

Other Information on Investing in Sydinvest Fund

Sydinvest Virksomhedsoblig financial ratios help investors to determine whether Sydinvest Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Sydinvest with respect to the benefits of owning Sydinvest Virksomhedsoblig security.
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