Stitch Fix (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 4.31
| SYJ Stock | EUR 4.42 0.07 1.56% |
Stitch |
Stitch Fix Target Price Odds to finish below 4.31
The tendency of Stitch Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 4.31 or more in 90 days |
| 4.42 | 90 days | 4.31 | roughly 97.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Stitch Fix to drop to € 4.31 or more in 90 days from now is roughly 97.0 (This Stitch Fix probability density function shows the probability of Stitch Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Stitch Fix price to stay between € 4.31 and its current price of €4.42 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.04 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Stitch Fix has a beta of -0.18. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Stitch Fix are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Stitch Fix is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Stitch Fix has an alpha of 0.6663, implying that it can generate a 0.67 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Stitch Fix Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Stitch Fix
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Stitch Fix. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Stitch Fix Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Stitch Fix is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Stitch Fix's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Stitch Fix, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Stitch Fix within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.67 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.18 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.62 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.08 |
Stitch Fix Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Stitch Fix for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Stitch Fix can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Stitch Fix is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Stitch Fix appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Stitch Fix has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 2.07 B. Net Loss for the year was (207.12 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 909.19 M. | |
| Over 91.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Stitch Fix Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Stitch Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Stitch Fix's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Stitch Fix's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 109.3 M |
Stitch Fix Technical Analysis
Stitch Fix's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Stitch Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Stitch Fix. In general, you should focus on analyzing Stitch Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Stitch Fix Predictive Forecast Models
Stitch Fix's time-series forecasting models is one of many Stitch Fix's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Stitch Fix's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Stitch Fix
Checking the ongoing alerts about Stitch Fix for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Stitch Fix help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Stitch Fix is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Stitch Fix appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Stitch Fix has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 2.07 B. Net Loss for the year was (207.12 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 909.19 M. | |
| Over 91.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Stitch Stock
When determining whether Stitch Fix offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Stitch Fix's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Stitch Fix Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Stitch Fix Stock:Check out Stitch Fix Backtesting, Stitch Fix Valuation, Stitch Fix Correlation, Stitch Fix Hype Analysis, Stitch Fix Volatility, Stitch Fix History as well as Stitch Fix Performance. For more detail on how to invest in Stitch Stock please use our How to Invest in Stitch Fix guide.You can also try the Theme Ratings module to determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.