Systemair (Sweden) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 74.84

SYSR Stock  SEK 91.50  0.20  0.22%   
Systemair's future price is the expected price of Systemair instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Systemair AB performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Systemair Backtesting, Systemair Valuation, Systemair Correlation, Systemair Hype Analysis, Systemair Volatility, Systemair History as well as Systemair Performance.
  
Please specify Systemair's target price for which you would like Systemair odds to be computed.

Systemair Target Price Odds to finish over 74.84

The tendency of Systemair Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above kr 74.84  in 90 days
 91.50 90 days 74.84 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Systemair to stay above kr 74.84  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Systemair AB probability density function shows the probability of Systemair Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Systemair AB price to stay between kr 74.84  and its current price of kr91.5 at the end of the 90-day period is over 95.14 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Systemair AB has a beta of -0.25. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Systemair are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Systemair AB is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Systemair AB has an alpha of 0.2618, implying that it can generate a 0.26 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Systemair Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Systemair

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Systemair AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
89.6391.5093.37
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
72.8174.68100.65
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
88.6890.5592.42
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
87.0390.7794.51
Details

Systemair Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Systemair is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Systemair's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Systemair AB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Systemair within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.26
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.25
σ
Overall volatility
3.71
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

Systemair Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Systemair for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Systemair AB can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Systemair AB has accumulated kr1.23 Billion in debt which can lead to volatile earnings
About 54.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Systemair Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Systemair Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Systemair's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Systemair's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding208 M
Cash And Short Term Investments339.3 M

Systemair Technical Analysis

Systemair's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Systemair Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Systemair AB. In general, you should focus on analyzing Systemair Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Systemair Predictive Forecast Models

Systemair's time-series forecasting models is one of many Systemair's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Systemair's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Systemair AB

Checking the ongoing alerts about Systemair for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Systemair AB help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Systemair AB has accumulated kr1.23 Billion in debt which can lead to volatile earnings
About 54.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Additional Tools for Systemair Stock Analysis

When running Systemair's price analysis, check to measure Systemair's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Systemair is operating at the current time. Most of Systemair's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Systemair's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Systemair's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Systemair to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.