AS Tallink (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.5
| T5N Stock | EUR 0.59 0.00 0.00% |
T5N |
AS Tallink Target Price Odds to finish below 0.5
The tendency of T5N Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 0.50 or more in 90 days |
| 0.59 | 90 days | 0.50 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of AS Tallink to drop to € 0.50 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This AS Tallink Grupp probability density function shows the probability of T5N Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of AS Tallink Grupp price to stay between € 0.50 and its current price of €0.59 at the end of the 90-day period is about 49.98 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon AS Tallink Grupp has a beta of -0.16. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding AS Tallink are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, AS Tallink Grupp is likely to outperform the market. Additionally AS Tallink Grupp has an alpha of 0.0025, implying that it can generate a 0.002479 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). AS Tallink Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for AS Tallink
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AS Tallink Grupp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.AS Tallink Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. AS Tallink is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the AS Tallink's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold AS Tallink Grupp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of AS Tallink within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.16 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.02 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.07 |
AS Tallink Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of AS Tallink for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for AS Tallink Grupp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| AS Tallink Grupp has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| AS Tallink Grupp has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| AS Tallink Grupp has accumulated €435.53 Million in debt which can lead to volatile earnings | |
| AS Tallink Grupp has accumulated 435.53 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 72.9, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. AS Tallink Grupp has a current ratio of 0.56, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist AS Tallink until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, AS Tallink's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like AS Tallink Grupp sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for T5N to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about AS Tallink's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 476.94 M. Net Loss for the year was (56.58 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 113.47 M. | |
| About 60.0% of AS Tallink outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
AS Tallink Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of T5N Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential AS Tallink's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AS Tallink's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 743.6 M |
AS Tallink Technical Analysis
AS Tallink's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. T5N Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of AS Tallink Grupp. In general, you should focus on analyzing T5N Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
AS Tallink Predictive Forecast Models
AS Tallink's time-series forecasting models is one of many AS Tallink's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary AS Tallink's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about AS Tallink Grupp
Checking the ongoing alerts about AS Tallink for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for AS Tallink Grupp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| AS Tallink Grupp has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| AS Tallink Grupp has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| AS Tallink Grupp has accumulated €435.53 Million in debt which can lead to volatile earnings | |
| AS Tallink Grupp has accumulated 435.53 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 72.9, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. AS Tallink Grupp has a current ratio of 0.56, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist AS Tallink until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, AS Tallink's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like AS Tallink Grupp sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for T5N to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about AS Tallink's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 476.94 M. Net Loss for the year was (56.58 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 113.47 M. | |
| About 60.0% of AS Tallink outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in T5N Stock
AS Tallink financial ratios help investors to determine whether T5N Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in T5N with respect to the benefits of owning AS Tallink security.