Tanger Factory (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 31.80
| T6O Stock | 34.98 0.20 0.57% |
Tanger |
Tanger Factory Target Price Odds to finish below 31.80
The tendency of Tanger Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 31.80 or more in 90 days |
| 34.98 | 90 days | 31.80 | about 68.92 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Tanger Factory to drop to 31.80 or more in 90 days from now is about 68.92 (This Tanger Factory Outlet probability density function shows the probability of Tanger Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Tanger Factory Outlet price to stay between 31.80 and its current price of 34.98 at the end of the 90-day period is about 27.21 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Tanger Factory has a beta of 0.32. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Tanger Factory average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Tanger Factory Outlet will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Tanger Factory Outlet has an alpha of 0.352, implying that it can generate a 0.35 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Tanger Factory Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Tanger Factory
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tanger Factory Outlet. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Tanger Factory's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Tanger Factory Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Tanger Factory is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Tanger Factory's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Tanger Factory Outlet, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Tanger Factory within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.35 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.32 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.47 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.25 |
Tanger Factory Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Tanger Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Tanger Factory's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Tanger Factory's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 104.1 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 72.4 M |
Tanger Factory Technical Analysis
Tanger Factory's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Tanger Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Tanger Factory Outlet. In general, you should focus on analyzing Tanger Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Tanger Factory Predictive Forecast Models
Tanger Factory's time-series forecasting models is one of many Tanger Factory's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Tanger Factory's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Tanger Factory in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Tanger Factory's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Tanger Factory options trading.
Additional Tools for Tanger Stock Analysis
When running Tanger Factory's price analysis, check to measure Tanger Factory's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Tanger Factory is operating at the current time. Most of Tanger Factory's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Tanger Factory's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Tanger Factory's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Tanger Factory to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.