TREE (Germany) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 39.62

T77 Stock  EUR 36.77  1.40  3.67%   
TREE's future price is the expected price of TREE instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of TREECOM performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
  
Please specify TREE's target price for which you would like TREE odds to be computed.

TREE Target Price Odds to finish over 39.62

The tendency of TREE Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over € 39.62  or more in 90 days
 36.77 90 days 39.62 
about 85.3
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of TREE to move over € 39.62  or more in 90 days from now is about 85.3 (This TREECOM probability density function shows the probability of TREE Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of TREECOM price to stay between its current price of € 36.77  and € 39.62  at the end of the 90-day period is about 8.09 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon TREECOM has a beta of -0.39. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding TREE are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, TREECOM is likely to outperform the market. Additionally TREECOM has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   TREE Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for TREE

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as TREECOM. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
36.7736.7736.77
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
34.9334.9340.45
Details

TREE Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. TREE is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the TREE's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold TREECOM, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of TREE within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.43
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.39
σ
Overall volatility
6.25
Ir
Information ratio -0.1

TREE Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of TREE for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for TREECOM can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
TREECOM is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
TREECOM has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 984.99 M. Net Loss for the year was (187.95 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.

TREE Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of TREE Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential TREE's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. TREE's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding12.8 M
Short Long Term Debt2.5 M

TREE Technical Analysis

TREE's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. TREE Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of TREECOM. In general, you should focus on analyzing TREE Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

TREE Predictive Forecast Models

TREE's time-series forecasting models is one of many TREE's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary TREE's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about TREECOM

Checking the ongoing alerts about TREE for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for TREECOM help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
TREECOM is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
TREECOM has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 984.99 M. Net Loss for the year was (187.95 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.

Other Information on Investing in TREE Stock

TREE financial ratios help investors to determine whether TREE Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in TREE with respect to the benefits of owning TREE security.