TREECOM (Germany) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 66.02

T77 Stock  EUR 38.89  2.43  5.88%   
TREECOM's future price is the expected price of TREECOM instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of TREECOM performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out TREECOM Backtesting, TREECOM Valuation, TREECOM Correlation, TREECOM Hype Analysis, TREECOM Volatility, TREECOM History as well as TREECOM Performance.
  
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TREECOM Target Price Odds to finish over 66.02

The tendency of TREECOM Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over € 66.02  or more in 90 days
 38.89 90 days 66.02 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of TREECOM to move over € 66.02  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This TREECOM probability density function shows the probability of TREECOM Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of TREECOM price to stay between its current price of € 38.89  and € 66.02  at the end of the 90-day period is under 95 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.92 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, TREECOM will likely underperform. Additionally TREECOM has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   TREECOM Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for TREECOM

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as TREECOM. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
35.2939.8744.45
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
28.9133.4943.86
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
33.7938.3742.95
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
33.5545.3257.10
Details

TREECOM Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. TREECOM is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the TREECOM's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold TREECOM, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of TREECOM within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.39
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.92
σ
Overall volatility
5.71
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

TREECOM Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of TREECOM for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for TREECOM can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
TREECOM generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
TREECOM has high historical volatility and very poor performance
TREECOM has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 984.99 M. Net Loss for the year was (187.95 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.

TREECOM Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of TREECOM Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential TREECOM's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. TREECOM's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding12.8 M
Short Long Term Debt2.5 M

TREECOM Technical Analysis

TREECOM's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. TREECOM Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of TREECOM. In general, you should focus on analyzing TREECOM Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

TREECOM Predictive Forecast Models

TREECOM's time-series forecasting models is one of many TREECOM's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary TREECOM's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about TREECOM

Checking the ongoing alerts about TREECOM for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for TREECOM help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
TREECOM generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
TREECOM has high historical volatility and very poor performance
TREECOM has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 984.99 M. Net Loss for the year was (187.95 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.

Other Information on Investing in TREECOM Stock

TREECOM financial ratios help investors to determine whether TREECOM Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in TREECOM with respect to the benefits of owning TREECOM security.