Transmissora Aliana (Brazil) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 33.51
| TAEE11 Stock | BRL 34.09 0.50 1.49% |
Transmissora |
Transmissora Aliana Target Price Odds to finish below 33.51
The tendency of Transmissora Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to R$ 33.51 or more in 90 days |
| 34.09 | 90 days | 33.51 | roughly 2.39 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Transmissora Aliana to drop to R$ 33.51 or more in 90 days from now is roughly 2.39 (This Transmissora Aliana de probability density function shows the probability of Transmissora Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Transmissora Aliana price to stay between R$ 33.51 and its current price of R$34.09 at the end of the 90-day period is about 15.68 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Transmissora Aliana de has a beta of -0.0824. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Transmissora Aliana are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Transmissora Aliana de is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Transmissora Aliana de has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Transmissora Aliana Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Transmissora Aliana
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Transmissora Aliana. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Transmissora Aliana Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Transmissora Aliana is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Transmissora Aliana's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Transmissora Aliana de, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Transmissora Aliana within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.08 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.55 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.22 |
Transmissora Aliana Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Transmissora Aliana for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Transmissora Aliana can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Transmissora Aliana generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Transmissora Aliana Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Transmissora Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Transmissora Aliana's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Transmissora Aliana's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 384.8 M |
Transmissora Aliana Technical Analysis
Transmissora Aliana's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Transmissora Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Transmissora Aliana de. In general, you should focus on analyzing Transmissora Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Transmissora Aliana Predictive Forecast Models
Transmissora Aliana's time-series forecasting models is one of many Transmissora Aliana's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Transmissora Aliana's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Transmissora Aliana
Checking the ongoing alerts about Transmissora Aliana for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Transmissora Aliana help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Transmissora Aliana generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Other Information on Investing in Transmissora Stock
Transmissora Aliana financial ratios help investors to determine whether Transmissora Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Transmissora with respect to the benefits of owning Transmissora Aliana security.