Takuni Group (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 126.84

TAKUNI Stock  THB 0.72  0.04  5.88%   
Takuni Group's future price is the expected price of Takuni Group instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Takuni Group Public performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Takuni Group Backtesting, Takuni Group Valuation, Takuni Group Correlation, Takuni Group Hype Analysis, Takuni Group Volatility, Takuni Group History as well as Takuni Group Performance.
  
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Takuni Group Target Price Odds to finish over 126.84

The tendency of Takuni Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  126.84  or more in 90 days
 0.72 90 days 126.84 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Takuni Group to move over  126.84  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Takuni Group Public probability density function shows the probability of Takuni Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Takuni Group Public price to stay between its current price of  0.72  and  126.84  at the end of the 90-day period is about 86.44 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Takuni Group Public has a beta of -0.88. This usually implies Additionally Takuni Group Public has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Takuni Group Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Takuni Group

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Takuni Group Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.040.7286.72
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.030.6986.69
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.010.72126.84
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.580.770.96
Details

Takuni Group Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Takuni Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Takuni Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Takuni Group Public, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Takuni Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.51
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.88
σ
Overall volatility
0.20
Ir
Information ratio -0.2

Takuni Group Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Takuni Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Takuni Group Public can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Takuni Group Public is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Takuni Group Public has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Takuni Group Public appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
About 32.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Takuni Group Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Takuni Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Takuni Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Takuni Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding800 M
Short Long Term Debt432.1 M

Takuni Group Technical Analysis

Takuni Group's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Takuni Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Takuni Group Public. In general, you should focus on analyzing Takuni Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Takuni Group Predictive Forecast Models

Takuni Group's time-series forecasting models is one of many Takuni Group's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Takuni Group's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Takuni Group Public

Checking the ongoing alerts about Takuni Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Takuni Group Public help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Takuni Group Public is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Takuni Group Public has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Takuni Group Public appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
About 32.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Takuni Stock

Takuni Group financial ratios help investors to determine whether Takuni Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Takuni with respect to the benefits of owning Takuni Group security.