Talkspace Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 7.95

TALK Stock  USD 3.45  0.14  4.23%   
Talkspace's future price is the expected price of Talkspace instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Talkspace performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Talkspace Backtesting, Talkspace Valuation, Talkspace Correlation, Talkspace Hype Analysis, Talkspace Volatility, Talkspace History as well as Talkspace Performance.
For more information on how to buy Talkspace Stock please use our How to buy in Talkspace Stock guide.
  
At this time, Talkspace's Price Fair Value is quite stable compared to the past year. Please specify Talkspace's target price for which you would like Talkspace odds to be computed.

Talkspace Target Price Odds to finish over 7.95

The tendency of Talkspace Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 7.95  or more in 90 days
 3.45 90 days 7.95 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Talkspace to move over $ 7.95  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Talkspace probability density function shows the probability of Talkspace Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Talkspace price to stay between its current price of $ 3.45  and $ 7.95  at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.32 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.83 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Talkspace will likely underperform. Additionally Talkspace has an alpha of 0.9416, implying that it can generate a 0.94 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Talkspace Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Talkspace

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Talkspace. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.203.988.48
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.224.378.87
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.073.327.82
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
4.555.005.55
Details

Talkspace Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Talkspace is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Talkspace's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Talkspace, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Talkspace within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.94
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.83
σ
Overall volatility
0.56
Ir
Information ratio 0.23

Talkspace Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Talkspace for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Talkspace can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Talkspace appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 150.04 M. Net Loss for the year was (19.18 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 53.75 M.
Talkspace currently holds about 166.62 M in cash with (16.39 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.05.
Roughly 60.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from investing.com: Disposition of 134654 shares by Gil Margolin of Talkspace at 3.0964 subject to Rule 16b-3

Talkspace Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Talkspace Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Talkspace's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Talkspace's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding165 M
Cash And Short Term Investments123.9 M
Shares Float126.8 M

Talkspace Technical Analysis

Talkspace's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Talkspace Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Talkspace. In general, you should focus on analyzing Talkspace Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Talkspace Predictive Forecast Models

Talkspace's time-series forecasting models is one of many Talkspace's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Talkspace's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Talkspace

Checking the ongoing alerts about Talkspace for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Talkspace help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Talkspace appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 150.04 M. Net Loss for the year was (19.18 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 53.75 M.
Talkspace currently holds about 166.62 M in cash with (16.39 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.05.
Roughly 60.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from investing.com: Disposition of 134654 shares by Gil Margolin of Talkspace at 3.0964 subject to Rule 16b-3
When determining whether Talkspace is a strong investment it is important to analyze Talkspace's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Talkspace's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Talkspace Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Talkspace Backtesting, Talkspace Valuation, Talkspace Correlation, Talkspace Hype Analysis, Talkspace Volatility, Talkspace History as well as Talkspace Performance.
For more information on how to buy Talkspace Stock please use our How to buy in Talkspace Stock guide.
You can also try the Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm.
Is Health Care Equipment & Supplies space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Talkspace. If investors know Talkspace will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Talkspace listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(0.01)
Revenue Per Share
1.076
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.226
Return On Assets
(0.03)
Return On Equity
(0.01)
The market value of Talkspace is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Talkspace that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Talkspace's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Talkspace's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Talkspace's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Talkspace's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Talkspace's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Talkspace is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Talkspace's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.