Tamtron Group (Finland) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 3.94
| TAMTRON Stock | 5.92 0.20 3.50% |
Tamtron |
Tamtron Group Target Price Odds to finish below 3.94
The tendency of Tamtron Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 3.94 or more in 90 days |
| 5.92 | 90 days | 3.94 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Tamtron Group to drop to 3.94 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Tamtron Group Oyj probability density function shows the probability of Tamtron Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Tamtron Group Oyj price to stay between 3.94 and its current price of 5.92 at the end of the 90-day period is close to 99 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Tamtron Group Oyj has a beta of -0.12. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Tamtron Group are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Tamtron Group Oyj is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Tamtron Group Oyj has an alpha of 0.064, implying that it can generate a 0.064 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Tamtron Group Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Tamtron Group
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tamtron Group Oyj. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Tamtron Group Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Tamtron Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Tamtron Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Tamtron Group Oyj, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Tamtron Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.12 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.13 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.04 |
Tamtron Group Technical Analysis
Tamtron Group's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Tamtron Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Tamtron Group Oyj. In general, you should focus on analyzing Tamtron Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Tamtron Group Predictive Forecast Models
Tamtron Group's time-series forecasting models is one of many Tamtron Group's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Tamtron Group's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Tamtron Group in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Tamtron Group's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Tamtron Group options trading.