Tipco Asphalt (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 17.62
| TASCO Stock | THB 19.10 0.10 0.52% |
Tipco |
Tipco Asphalt Target Price Odds to finish below 17.62
The tendency of Tipco Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 17.62 or more in 90 days |
| 19.10 | 90 days | 17.62 | about 13.4 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Tipco Asphalt to drop to 17.62 or more in 90 days from now is about 13.4 (This Tipco Asphalt Public probability density function shows the probability of Tipco Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Tipco Asphalt Public price to stay between 17.62 and its current price of 19.1 at the end of the 90-day period is about 82.83 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Tipco Asphalt Public has a beta of -0.17. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Tipco Asphalt are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Tipco Asphalt Public is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Tipco Asphalt Public has an alpha of 0.2076, implying that it can generate a 0.21 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Tipco Asphalt Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Tipco Asphalt
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tipco Asphalt Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Tipco Asphalt Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Tipco Asphalt is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Tipco Asphalt's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Tipco Asphalt Public, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Tipco Asphalt within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.21 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.17 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.51 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.04 |
Tipco Asphalt Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Tipco Asphalt for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Tipco Asphalt Public can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 29.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Tipco Asphalt Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Tipco Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Tipco Asphalt's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Tipco Asphalt's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.6 B |
Tipco Asphalt Technical Analysis
Tipco Asphalt's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Tipco Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Tipco Asphalt Public. In general, you should focus on analyzing Tipco Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Tipco Asphalt Predictive Forecast Models
Tipco Asphalt's time-series forecasting models is one of many Tipco Asphalt's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Tipco Asphalt's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Tipco Asphalt Public
Checking the ongoing alerts about Tipco Asphalt for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Tipco Asphalt Public help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 29.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Tipco Stock
Tipco Asphalt financial ratios help investors to determine whether Tipco Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Tipco with respect to the benefits of owning Tipco Asphalt security.