TAMBANG BATUBARA (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 10.17

TBA Stock  EUR 0.18  0.00  0.00%   
TAMBANG BATUBARA's future price is the expected price of TAMBANG BATUBARA instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of TAMBANG BATUBARA B performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out TAMBANG BATUBARA Backtesting, TAMBANG BATUBARA Valuation, TAMBANG BATUBARA Correlation, TAMBANG BATUBARA Hype Analysis, TAMBANG BATUBARA Volatility, TAMBANG BATUBARA History as well as TAMBANG BATUBARA Performance.
  
Please specify TAMBANG BATUBARA's target price for which you would like TAMBANG BATUBARA odds to be computed.

TAMBANG BATUBARA Target Price Odds to finish over 10.17

The tendency of TAMBANG Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over € 10.17  or more in 90 days
 0.18 90 days 10.17 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of TAMBANG BATUBARA to move over € 10.17  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This TAMBANG BATUBARA B probability density function shows the probability of TAMBANG Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of TAMBANG BATUBARA B price to stay between its current price of € 0.18  and € 10.17  at the end of the 90-day period is about 16.57 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon TAMBANG BATUBARA has a beta of 0.32. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, TAMBANG BATUBARA average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding TAMBANG BATUBARA B will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally TAMBANG BATUBARA B has an alpha of 0.2802, implying that it can generate a 0.28 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   TAMBANG BATUBARA Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for TAMBANG BATUBARA

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as TAMBANG BATUBARA B. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.183.51
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.143.47
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
00.183.51
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.180.180.18
Details

TAMBANG BATUBARA Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. TAMBANG BATUBARA is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the TAMBANG BATUBARA's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold TAMBANG BATUBARA B , one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of TAMBANG BATUBARA within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.28
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.32
σ
Overall volatility
0.01
Ir
Information ratio 0.06

TAMBANG BATUBARA Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of TAMBANG BATUBARA for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for TAMBANG BATUBARA B can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
TAMBANG BATUBARA B has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
TAMBANG BATUBARA B had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days

TAMBANG BATUBARA Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of TAMBANG Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential TAMBANG BATUBARA's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. TAMBANG BATUBARA's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding11.5 B
Dividends Paid-835.4 B
Short Long Term Debt3.7 B

TAMBANG BATUBARA Technical Analysis

TAMBANG BATUBARA's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. TAMBANG Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of TAMBANG BATUBARA B . In general, you should focus on analyzing TAMBANG Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

TAMBANG BATUBARA Predictive Forecast Models

TAMBANG BATUBARA's time-series forecasting models is one of many TAMBANG BATUBARA's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary TAMBANG BATUBARA's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about TAMBANG BATUBARA B

Checking the ongoing alerts about TAMBANG BATUBARA for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for TAMBANG BATUBARA B help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
TAMBANG BATUBARA B has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
TAMBANG BATUBARA B had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days

Additional Tools for TAMBANG Stock Analysis

When running TAMBANG BATUBARA's price analysis, check to measure TAMBANG BATUBARA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy TAMBANG BATUBARA is operating at the current time. Most of TAMBANG BATUBARA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of TAMBANG BATUBARA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move TAMBANG BATUBARA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of TAMBANG BATUBARA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.