Bbb Foods Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 16.41
| TBBB Stock | 28.22 1.67 5.59% |
BBB |
BBB Foods Target Price Odds to finish below 16.41
The tendency of BBB Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 16.41 or more in 90 days |
| 28.22 | 90 days | 16.41 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of BBB Foods to drop to 16.41 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This BBB Foods probability density function shows the probability of BBB Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of BBB Foods price to stay between 16.41 and its current price of 28.22 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.32 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days BBB Foods has a beta of 0.77. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, BBB Foods average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding BBB Foods will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally BBB Foods has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. BBB Foods Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for BBB Foods
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BBB Foods. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.BBB Foods Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. BBB Foods is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the BBB Foods' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold BBB Foods, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of BBB Foods within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.3 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.77 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.54 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
BBB Foods Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of BBB Foods for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for BBB Foods can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| BBB Foods generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| BBB Foods has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 44.08 B. Net Loss for the year was (100.91 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: BBB Foods reports robust 3Q24 growth |
BBB Foods Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of BBB Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential BBB Foods' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. BBB Foods' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 28.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.2 B | |
| Shares Float | 38.7 M |
BBB Foods Technical Analysis
BBB Foods' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. BBB Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of BBB Foods. In general, you should focus on analyzing BBB Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
BBB Foods Predictive Forecast Models
BBB Foods' time-series forecasting models is one of many BBB Foods' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary BBB Foods' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about BBB Foods
Checking the ongoing alerts about BBB Foods for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for BBB Foods help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| BBB Foods generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| BBB Foods has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 44.08 B. Net Loss for the year was (100.91 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: BBB Foods reports robust 3Q24 growth |
Check out BBB Foods Backtesting, BBB Foods Valuation, BBB Foods Correlation, BBB Foods Hype Analysis, BBB Foods Volatility, BBB Foods History as well as BBB Foods Performance. For information on how to trade BBB Stock refer to our How to Trade BBB Stock guide.You can also try the Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.
Is Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of BBB Foods. If investors know BBB will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about BBB Foods listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 2.497 | Earnings Share (0.15) | Revenue Per Share 445.624 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.275 |
The market value of BBB Foods is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of BBB that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of BBB Foods' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is BBB Foods' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because BBB Foods' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect BBB Foods' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between BBB Foods' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if BBB Foods is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, BBB Foods' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.