Tunas Baru (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 632.65
| TBLA Stock | IDR 635.00 5.00 0.79% |
Tunas |
Tunas Baru Target Price Odds to finish below 632.65
The tendency of Tunas Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 632.65 or more in 90 days |
| 635.00 | 90 days | 632.65 | about 56.44 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Tunas Baru to drop to 632.65 or more in 90 days from now is about 56.44 (This Tunas Baru Lampung probability density function shows the probability of Tunas Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Tunas Baru Lampung price to stay between 632.65 and its current price of 635.0 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.69 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Tunas Baru Lampung has a beta of -0.0951. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Tunas Baru are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Tunas Baru Lampung is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Tunas Baru Lampung has an alpha of 0.0737, implying that it can generate a 0.0737 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Tunas Baru Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Tunas Baru
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tunas Baru Lampung. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Tunas Baru Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Tunas Baru is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Tunas Baru's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Tunas Baru Lampung, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Tunas Baru within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.07 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.1 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 19.45 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
Tunas Baru Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Tunas Baru for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Tunas Baru Lampung can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 58.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Tunas Baru Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Tunas Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Tunas Baru's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Tunas Baru's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 5.3 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 690.2 B |
Tunas Baru Technical Analysis
Tunas Baru's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Tunas Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Tunas Baru Lampung. In general, you should focus on analyzing Tunas Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Tunas Baru Predictive Forecast Models
Tunas Baru's time-series forecasting models is one of many Tunas Baru's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Tunas Baru's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Tunas Baru Lampung
Checking the ongoing alerts about Tunas Baru for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Tunas Baru Lampung help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 58.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Tunas Stock
Tunas Baru financial ratios help investors to determine whether Tunas Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Tunas with respect to the benefits of owning Tunas Baru security.