Thai Beverage Public Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 0.4

TBVPF Stock  USD 0.39  0.04  11.43%   
Thai Beverage's future price is the expected price of Thai Beverage instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Thai Beverage Public performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Thai Beverage Backtesting, Thai Beverage Valuation, Thai Beverage Correlation, Thai Beverage Hype Analysis, Thai Beverage Volatility, Thai Beverage History as well as Thai Beverage Performance.
  
Please specify Thai Beverage's target price for which you would like Thai Beverage odds to be computed.

Thai Beverage Target Price Odds to finish over 0.4

The tendency of Thai Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 0.40  or more in 90 days
 0.39 90 days 0.40 
about 50.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Thai Beverage to move over $ 0.40  or more in 90 days from now is about 50.0 (This Thai Beverage Public probability density function shows the probability of Thai Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Thai Beverage Public price to stay between its current price of $ 0.39  and $ 0.40  at the end of the 90-day period is about 16.34 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Thai Beverage Public has a beta of -0.0577. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Thai Beverage are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Thai Beverage Public is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Thai Beverage Public has an alpha of 0.3467, implying that it can generate a 0.35 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Thai Beverage Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Thai Beverage

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Thai Beverage Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.020.397.27
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.020.337.21
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.010.407.28
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.330.380.42
Details

Thai Beverage Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Thai Beverage is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Thai Beverage's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Thai Beverage Public, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Thai Beverage within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.35
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.06
σ
Overall volatility
0.02
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

Thai Beverage Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Thai Beverage for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Thai Beverage Public can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Thai Beverage Public had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Thai Beverage Public has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
About 72.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Thai Beverage Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Thai Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Thai Beverage's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Thai Beverage's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding25.1 B

Thai Beverage Technical Analysis

Thai Beverage's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Thai Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Thai Beverage Public. In general, you should focus on analyzing Thai Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Thai Beverage Predictive Forecast Models

Thai Beverage's time-series forecasting models is one of many Thai Beverage's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Thai Beverage's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Thai Beverage Public

Checking the ongoing alerts about Thai Beverage for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Thai Beverage Public help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Thai Beverage Public had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Thai Beverage Public has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
About 72.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Thai Pink Sheet

Thai Beverage financial ratios help investors to determine whether Thai Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Thai with respect to the benefits of owning Thai Beverage security.