Tp Icap Group Stock Odds of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 6.06

TCAPF Stock  USD 2.96  0.00  0.00%   
TP ICAP's future price is the expected price of TP ICAP instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of TP ICAP Group performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out TP ICAP Backtesting, TP ICAP Valuation, TP ICAP Correlation, TP ICAP Hype Analysis, TP ICAP Volatility, TP ICAP History as well as TP ICAP Performance.
  
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TP ICAP Target Price Odds to finish over 6.06

The tendency of TCAPF Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 6.06  or more in 90 days
 2.96 90 days 6.06 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of TP ICAP to move over $ 6.06  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This TP ICAP Group probability density function shows the probability of TCAPF Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of TP ICAP Group price to stay between its current price of $ 2.96  and $ 6.06  at the end of the 90-day period is about 58.2 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon TP ICAP has a beta of 0.75. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, TP ICAP average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding TP ICAP Group will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally TP ICAP Group has an alpha of 0.3073, implying that it can generate a 0.31 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   TP ICAP Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for TP ICAP

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as TP ICAP Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.152.966.09
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.152.956.08
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.173.306.43
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2.332.723.11
Details

TP ICAP Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. TP ICAP is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the TP ICAP's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold TP ICAP Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of TP ICAP within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.31
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.75
σ
Overall volatility
0.29
Ir
Information ratio 0.06

TP ICAP Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of TP ICAP for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for TP ICAP Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
TP ICAP Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
TP ICAP Group has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Over 78.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

TP ICAP Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of TCAPF Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential TP ICAP's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. TP ICAP's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding780.6 M

TP ICAP Technical Analysis

TP ICAP's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. TCAPF Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of TP ICAP Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing TCAPF Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

TP ICAP Predictive Forecast Models

TP ICAP's time-series forecasting models is one of many TP ICAP's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary TP ICAP's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about TP ICAP Group

Checking the ongoing alerts about TP ICAP for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for TP ICAP Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
TP ICAP Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
TP ICAP Group has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Over 78.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Other Information on Investing in TCAPF Pink Sheet

TP ICAP financial ratios help investors to determine whether TCAPF Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in TCAPF with respect to the benefits of owning TP ICAP security.