Vietnam Technological (Vietnam) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 15686.82

TCB Stock   24,050  100.00  0.41%   
Vietnam Technological's future price is the expected price of Vietnam Technological instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Vietnam Technological And performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Vietnam Technological Backtesting, Vietnam Technological Valuation, Vietnam Technological Correlation, Vietnam Technological Hype Analysis, Vietnam Technological Volatility, Vietnam Technological History as well as Vietnam Technological Performance.
  
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Vietnam Technological Target Price Odds to finish below 15686.82

The tendency of Vietnam Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  15,687  or more in 90 days
 24,050 90 days 15,687 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Vietnam Technological to drop to  15,687  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Vietnam Technological And probability density function shows the probability of Vietnam Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Vietnam Technological And price to stay between  15,687  and its current price of 24050.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 72.93 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Vietnam Technological has a beta of 0.0632. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Vietnam Technological average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Vietnam Technological And will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Vietnam Technological And has an alpha of 0.1062, implying that it can generate a 0.11 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Vietnam Technological Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Vietnam Technological

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vietnam Technological And. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
24,04924,05024,051
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
20,20120,20226,455
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
24,41024,41124,412
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
22,36323,39824,433
Details

Vietnam Technological Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Vietnam Technological is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Vietnam Technological's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Vietnam Technological And, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Vietnam Technological within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.11
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.06
σ
Overall volatility
686.80
Ir
Information ratio -0.0009

Vietnam Technological Technical Analysis

Vietnam Technological's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Vietnam Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Vietnam Technological And. In general, you should focus on analyzing Vietnam Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Vietnam Technological Predictive Forecast Models

Vietnam Technological's time-series forecasting models is one of many Vietnam Technological's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Vietnam Technological's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Vietnam Technological in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Vietnam Technological's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Vietnam Technological options trading.

Other Information on Investing in Vietnam Stock

Vietnam Technological financial ratios help investors to determine whether Vietnam Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Vietnam with respect to the benefits of owning Vietnam Technological security.