Turkcell Iletisim (Turkey) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 90.08
| TCELL Stock | TRY 90.55 0.75 0.82% |
Turkcell |
Turkcell Iletisim Target Price Odds to finish below 90.08
The tendency of Turkcell Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 90.08 or more in 90 days |
| 90.55 | 90 days | 90.08 | about 38.57 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Turkcell Iletisim to drop to 90.08 or more in 90 days from now is about 38.57 (This Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri probability density function shows the probability of Turkcell Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Turkcell Iletisim price to stay between 90.08 and its current price of 90.55 at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Turkcell Iletisim has a beta of 0.76. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Turkcell Iletisim average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Turkcell Iletisim Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Turkcell Iletisim
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Turkcell Iletisim. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Turkcell Iletisim Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Turkcell Iletisim is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Turkcell Iletisim's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Turkcell Iletisim within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.19 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.76 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.02 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
Turkcell Iletisim Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Turkcell Iletisim for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Turkcell Iletisim can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Turkcell Iletisim generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Turkcell Iletisim has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations |
Turkcell Iletisim Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Turkcell Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Turkcell Iletisim's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Turkcell Iletisim's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.2 B |
Turkcell Iletisim Technical Analysis
Turkcell Iletisim's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Turkcell Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri. In general, you should focus on analyzing Turkcell Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Turkcell Iletisim Predictive Forecast Models
Turkcell Iletisim's time-series forecasting models is one of many Turkcell Iletisim's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Turkcell Iletisim's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Turkcell Iletisim
Checking the ongoing alerts about Turkcell Iletisim for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Turkcell Iletisim help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Turkcell Iletisim generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Turkcell Iletisim has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Turkcell Stock
When determining whether Turkcell Iletisim offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Turkcell Iletisim's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri Stock:Check out Turkcell Iletisim Backtesting, Turkcell Iletisim Valuation, Turkcell Iletisim Correlation, Turkcell Iletisim Hype Analysis, Turkcell Iletisim Volatility, Turkcell Iletisim History as well as Turkcell Iletisim Performance. You can also try the Portfolio Center module to all portfolio management and optimization tools to improve performance of your portfolios.