Tecan Group Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 310.0

TCHBF Stock  USD 277.00  0.00  0.00%   
Tecan Group's future price is the expected price of Tecan Group instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Tecan Group performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Tecan Group Backtesting, Tecan Group Valuation, Tecan Group Correlation, Tecan Group Hype Analysis, Tecan Group Volatility, Tecan Group History as well as Tecan Group Performance.
  
Please specify Tecan Group's target price for which you would like Tecan Group odds to be computed.

Tecan Group Target Price Odds to finish over 310.0

The tendency of Tecan Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 310.00  or more in 90 days
 277.00 90 days 310.00 
about 38.17
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Tecan Group to move over $ 310.00  or more in 90 days from now is about 38.17 (This Tecan Group probability density function shows the probability of Tecan Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Tecan Group price to stay between its current price of $ 277.00  and $ 310.00  at the end of the 90-day period is about 47.45 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Tecan Group has a beta of -0.0059. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Tecan Group are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Tecan Group is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Tecan Group has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Tecan Group Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Tecan Group

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tecan Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
275.22277.00278.78
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
249.30341.76343.54
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Tecan Group. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Tecan Group's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Tecan Group's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Tecan Group.

Tecan Group Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Tecan Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Tecan Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Tecan Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Tecan Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.3
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.0059
σ
Overall volatility
24.18
Ir
Information ratio -0.24

Tecan Group Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Tecan Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Tecan Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Tecan Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 71.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Tecan Group Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Tecan Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Tecan Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Tecan Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding12.7 M

Tecan Group Technical Analysis

Tecan Group's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Tecan Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Tecan Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Tecan Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Tecan Group Predictive Forecast Models

Tecan Group's time-series forecasting models is one of many Tecan Group's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Tecan Group's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Tecan Group

Checking the ongoing alerts about Tecan Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Tecan Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Tecan Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 71.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Other Information on Investing in Tecan Pink Sheet

Tecan Group financial ratios help investors to determine whether Tecan Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Tecan with respect to the benefits of owning Tecan Group security.