Mandom Indonesia (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 2173.03
| TCID Stock | IDR 2,290 10.00 0.43% |
Mandom |
Mandom Indonesia Target Price Odds to finish below 2173.03
The tendency of Mandom Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 2,173 or more in 90 days |
| 2,290 | 90 days | 2,173 | about 1.69 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Mandom Indonesia to drop to 2,173 or more in 90 days from now is about 1.69 (This Mandom Indonesia Tbk probability density function shows the probability of Mandom Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Mandom Indonesia Tbk price to stay between 2,173 and its current price of 2290.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 21.25 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Mandom Indonesia has a beta of 0.0716. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Mandom Indonesia average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Mandom Indonesia Tbk will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Mandom Indonesia Tbk has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Mandom Indonesia Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Mandom Indonesia
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mandom Indonesia Tbk. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Mandom Indonesia Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Mandom Indonesia is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Mandom Indonesia's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Mandom Indonesia Tbk, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Mandom Indonesia within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.16 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.07 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 85.03 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.15 |
Mandom Indonesia Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Mandom Indonesia for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Mandom Indonesia Tbk can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Mandom Indonesia Tbk generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 1.85 T. Net Loss for the year was (75.68 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 304.22 B. | |
| About 78.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Mandom Indonesia Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Mandom Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Mandom Indonesia's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Mandom Indonesia's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 201.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 554.6 B |
Mandom Indonesia Technical Analysis
Mandom Indonesia's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Mandom Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Mandom Indonesia Tbk. In general, you should focus on analyzing Mandom Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Mandom Indonesia Predictive Forecast Models
Mandom Indonesia's time-series forecasting models is one of many Mandom Indonesia's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Mandom Indonesia's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Mandom Indonesia Tbk
Checking the ongoing alerts about Mandom Indonesia for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Mandom Indonesia Tbk help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Mandom Indonesia Tbk generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 1.85 T. Net Loss for the year was (75.68 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 304.22 B. | |
| About 78.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Mandom Stock
Mandom Indonesia financial ratios help investors to determine whether Mandom Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Mandom with respect to the benefits of owning Mandom Indonesia security.