TRACON Pharmaceuticals Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1.60
| TCONDelisted Stock | USD 1.60 0.55 52.38% |
TRACON |
TRACON Pharmaceuticals Target Price Odds to finish below 1.60
The tendency of TRACON Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move below current price in 90 days |
| 1.60 | 90 days | 1.60 | about 35.09 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of TRACON Pharmaceuticals to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 35.09 (This TRACON Pharmaceuticals probability density function shows the probability of TRACON Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.24 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, TRACON Pharmaceuticals will likely underperform. Additionally TRACON Pharmaceuticals has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. TRACON Pharmaceuticals Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for TRACON Pharmaceuticals
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as TRACON Pharmaceuticals. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.TRACON Pharmaceuticals Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. TRACON Pharmaceuticals is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the TRACON Pharmaceuticals' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold TRACON Pharmaceuticals, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of TRACON Pharmaceuticals within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -2.12 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.24 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.94 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.18 |
TRACON Pharmaceuticals Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of TRACON Pharmaceuticals for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for TRACON Pharmaceuticals can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| TRACON Pharmaceuticals is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| TRACON Pharmaceuticals may become a speculative penny stock | |
| TRACON Pharmaceuticals has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 12.04 M. Net Loss for the year was (3.59 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (13.89 M). |
TRACON Pharmaceuticals Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of TRACON Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential TRACON Pharmaceuticals' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. TRACON Pharmaceuticals' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 32.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 8.6 M |
TRACON Pharmaceuticals Technical Analysis
TRACON Pharmaceuticals' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. TRACON Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of TRACON Pharmaceuticals. In general, you should focus on analyzing TRACON Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
TRACON Pharmaceuticals Predictive Forecast Models
TRACON Pharmaceuticals' time-series forecasting models is one of many TRACON Pharmaceuticals' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary TRACON Pharmaceuticals' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about TRACON Pharmaceuticals
Checking the ongoing alerts about TRACON Pharmaceuticals for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for TRACON Pharmaceuticals help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| TRACON Pharmaceuticals is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| TRACON Pharmaceuticals may become a speculative penny stock | |
| TRACON Pharmaceuticals has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 12.04 M. Net Loss for the year was (3.59 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (13.89 M). |
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in persons. You can also try the Financial Widgets module to easily integrated Macroaxis content with over 30 different plug-and-play financial widgets.
Other Consideration for investing in TRACON Stock
If you are still planning to invest in TRACON Pharmaceuticals check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the TRACON Pharmaceuticals' history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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