Treecon Resources Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 0.67

TCOR Stock  USD 0.67  0.00  0.00%   
TreeCon Resources' future price is the expected price of TreeCon Resources instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of TreeCon Resources performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out TreeCon Resources Backtesting, TreeCon Resources Valuation, TreeCon Resources Correlation, TreeCon Resources Hype Analysis, TreeCon Resources Volatility, TreeCon Resources History as well as TreeCon Resources Performance.
  
Please specify TreeCon Resources' target price for which you would like TreeCon Resources odds to be computed.

TreeCon Resources Target Price Odds to finish below 0.67

The tendency of TreeCon Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 0.67 90 days 0.67 
about 14.5
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of TreeCon Resources to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 14.5 (This TreeCon Resources probability density function shows the probability of TreeCon Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days TreeCon Resources has a beta of -0.12. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding TreeCon Resources are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, TreeCon Resources is likely to outperform the market. Additionally TreeCon Resources has an alpha of 0.0297, implying that it can generate a 0.0297 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   TreeCon Resources Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for TreeCon Resources

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as TreeCon Resources. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.260.671.08
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.160.570.98
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.260.671.07
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.670.670.67
Details

TreeCon Resources Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. TreeCon Resources is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the TreeCon Resources' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold TreeCon Resources, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of TreeCon Resources within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.12
σ
Overall volatility
0.01
Ir
Information ratio -0.24

TreeCon Resources Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of TreeCon Resources for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for TreeCon Resources can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
TreeCon Resources generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
TreeCon Resources has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock

TreeCon Resources Technical Analysis

TreeCon Resources' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. TreeCon Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of TreeCon Resources. In general, you should focus on analyzing TreeCon Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

TreeCon Resources Predictive Forecast Models

TreeCon Resources' time-series forecasting models is one of many TreeCon Resources' pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary TreeCon Resources' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about TreeCon Resources

Checking the ongoing alerts about TreeCon Resources for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for TreeCon Resources help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
TreeCon Resources generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
TreeCon Resources has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock

Additional Tools for TreeCon Pink Sheet Analysis

When running TreeCon Resources' price analysis, check to measure TreeCon Resources' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy TreeCon Resources is operating at the current time. Most of TreeCon Resources' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of TreeCon Resources' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move TreeCon Resources' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of TreeCon Resources to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.