Tscan Therapeutics Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 14.02
| TCRX Stock | USD 4.45 0.04 0.89% |
Tscan |
Tscan Therapeutics Target Price Odds to finish over 14.02
The tendency of Tscan Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 14.02 or more in 90 days |
| 4.45 | 90 days | 14.02 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Tscan Therapeutics to move over $ 14.02 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Tscan Therapeutics probability density function shows the probability of Tscan Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Tscan Therapeutics price to stay between its current price of $ 4.45 and $ 14.02 at the end of the 90-day period is more than 94.0 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.44 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Tscan Therapeutics will likely underperform. Additionally Tscan Therapeutics has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Tscan Therapeutics Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Tscan Therapeutics
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tscan Therapeutics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Tscan Therapeutics Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Tscan Therapeutics is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Tscan Therapeutics' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Tscan Therapeutics, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Tscan Therapeutics within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.53 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.44 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.48 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.1 |
Tscan Therapeutics Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Tscan Therapeutics for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Tscan Therapeutics can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Tscan Therapeutics generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Tscan Therapeutics has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Tscan Therapeutics has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 21.05 M. Net Loss for the year was (89.22 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (46.28 M). | |
| Tscan Therapeutics currently holds about 125.6 M in cash with (61.36 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 5.22, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Tscan Therapeutics has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 86.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: TScan Therapeutics to Host Virtual KOL Event to Discuss Clinical |
Tscan Therapeutics Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Tscan Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Tscan Therapeutics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Tscan Therapeutics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 65.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 192 M |
Tscan Therapeutics Technical Analysis
Tscan Therapeutics' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Tscan Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Tscan Therapeutics. In general, you should focus on analyzing Tscan Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Tscan Therapeutics Predictive Forecast Models
Tscan Therapeutics' time-series forecasting models is one of many Tscan Therapeutics' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Tscan Therapeutics' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Tscan Therapeutics
Checking the ongoing alerts about Tscan Therapeutics for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Tscan Therapeutics help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Tscan Therapeutics generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Tscan Therapeutics has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Tscan Therapeutics has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 21.05 M. Net Loss for the year was (89.22 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (46.28 M). | |
| Tscan Therapeutics currently holds about 125.6 M in cash with (61.36 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 5.22, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Tscan Therapeutics has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 86.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: TScan Therapeutics to Host Virtual KOL Event to Discuss Clinical |
Additional Tools for Tscan Stock Analysis
When running Tscan Therapeutics' price analysis, check to measure Tscan Therapeutics' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Tscan Therapeutics is operating at the current time. Most of Tscan Therapeutics' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Tscan Therapeutics' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Tscan Therapeutics' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Tscan Therapeutics to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.