Container Store Group Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 45.21
| TCS Stock | USD 3.61 0.20 5.25% |
Container |
Container Store Target Price Odds to finish over 45.21
The tendency of Container Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 45.21 or more in 90 days |
| 3.61 | 90 days | 45.21 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Container Store to move over $ 45.21 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Container Store Group probability density function shows the probability of Container Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Container Store Group price to stay between its current price of $ 3.61 and $ 45.21 at the end of the 90-day period is more than 94.0 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.47 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Container Store will likely underperform. Additionally Container Store Group has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Container Store Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Container Store
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Container Store Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Container Store's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Container Store Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Container Store is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Container Store's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Container Store Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Container Store within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -1.77 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.47 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.68 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.12 |
Container Store Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Container Store for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Container Store Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Container Store generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Container Store has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 847.78 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (103.29 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 636.24 M. | |
| Container Store has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 59.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from bizjournals.com: 40M rescue deal for The Container Store in doubt |
Container Store Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Container Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Container Store's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Container Store's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 21 M |
Container Store Technical Analysis
Container Store's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Container Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Container Store Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Container Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Container Store Predictive Forecast Models
Container Store's time-series forecasting models is one of many Container Store's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Container Store's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Container Store Group
Checking the ongoing alerts about Container Store for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Container Store Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Container Store generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Container Store has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 847.78 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (103.29 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 636.24 M. | |
| Container Store has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 59.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from bizjournals.com: 40M rescue deal for The Container Store in doubt |
Additional Tools for Container Stock Analysis
When running Container Store's price analysis, check to measure Container Store's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Container Store is operating at the current time. Most of Container Store's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Container Store's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Container Store's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Container Store to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.