Tarena International Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.84
| TCTM Stock | 0.83 0.02 2.47% |
Tarena |
Tarena International Target Price Odds to finish over 0.84
The tendency of Tarena Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 0.84 or more in 90 days |
| 0.83 | 90 days | 0.84 | about 82.95 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Tarena International to move over 0.84 or more in 90 days from now is about 82.95 (This Tarena International probability density function shows the probability of Tarena Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Tarena International price to stay between its current price of 0.83 and 0.84 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.18 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Tarena International has a beta of 0.0342. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Tarena International average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Tarena International will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Tarena International has an alpha of 0.0842, implying that it can generate a 0.0842 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Tarena International Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Tarena International
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tarena International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Tarena International's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Tarena International Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Tarena International is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Tarena International's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Tarena International, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Tarena International within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.08 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.03 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.21 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0031 |
Tarena International Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Tarena International for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Tarena International can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Tarena International generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Tarena International has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Tarena International has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Tarena International has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Tarena International was previously known as Tarena Intl Adr and was traded on NASDAQ Exchange under the symbol TEDU. | |
| Tarena International generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| Tarena International has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 36.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: TCTM Kids appoints new CEO, shifts management roles |
Tarena International Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Tarena Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Tarena International's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Tarena International's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 11.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 221 M |
Tarena International Technical Analysis
Tarena International's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Tarena Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Tarena International. In general, you should focus on analyzing Tarena Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Tarena International Predictive Forecast Models
Tarena International's time-series forecasting models is one of many Tarena International's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Tarena International's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Tarena International
Checking the ongoing alerts about Tarena International for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Tarena International help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Tarena International generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Tarena International has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Tarena International has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Tarena International has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Tarena International was previously known as Tarena Intl Adr and was traded on NASDAQ Exchange under the symbol TEDU. | |
| Tarena International generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| Tarena International has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 36.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: TCTM Kids appoints new CEO, shifts management roles |
Check out Tarena International Backtesting, Tarena International Valuation, Tarena International Correlation, Tarena International Hype Analysis, Tarena International Volatility, Tarena International History as well as Tarena International Performance. To learn how to invest in Tarena Stock, please use our How to Invest in Tarena International guide.You can also try the Portfolio Center module to all portfolio management and optimization tools to improve performance of your portfolios.
Is Diversified Consumer Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Tarena International. If investors know Tarena will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Tarena International listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share 0.26 | Revenue Per Share 127.631 | Return On Assets 0.0071 |
The market value of Tarena International is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Tarena that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Tarena International's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Tarena International's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Tarena International's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Tarena International's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Tarena International's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Tarena International is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Tarena International's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.