Tanaka CoLtd (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 4.08

TDJ Stock  EUR 4.08  0.02  0.49%   
Tanaka CoLtd's future price is the expected price of Tanaka CoLtd instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Tanaka CoLtd performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Tanaka CoLtd Backtesting, Tanaka CoLtd Valuation, Tanaka CoLtd Correlation, Tanaka CoLtd Hype Analysis, Tanaka CoLtd Volatility, Tanaka CoLtd History as well as Tanaka CoLtd Performance.
  
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Tanaka CoLtd Target Price Odds to finish over 4.08

The tendency of Tanaka Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 4.08 90 days 4.08 
about 62.08
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Tanaka CoLtd to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 62.08 (This Tanaka CoLtd probability density function shows the probability of Tanaka Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Tanaka CoLtd has a beta of 0.33. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Tanaka CoLtd average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Tanaka CoLtd will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Tanaka CoLtd has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Tanaka CoLtd Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Tanaka CoLtd

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tanaka CoLtd. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2.294.085.87
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.284.075.86
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
2.314.095.88
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3.823.984.15
Details

Tanaka CoLtd Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Tanaka CoLtd is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Tanaka CoLtd's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Tanaka CoLtd, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Tanaka CoLtd within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.33
σ
Overall volatility
0.13
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

Tanaka CoLtd Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Tanaka CoLtd for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Tanaka CoLtd can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Tanaka CoLtd generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 39.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Tanaka CoLtd Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Tanaka Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Tanaka CoLtd's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Tanaka CoLtd's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding8.4 M

Tanaka CoLtd Technical Analysis

Tanaka CoLtd's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Tanaka Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Tanaka CoLtd. In general, you should focus on analyzing Tanaka Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Tanaka CoLtd Predictive Forecast Models

Tanaka CoLtd's time-series forecasting models is one of many Tanaka CoLtd's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Tanaka CoLtd's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Tanaka CoLtd

Checking the ongoing alerts about Tanaka CoLtd for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Tanaka CoLtd help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Tanaka CoLtd generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 39.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Tanaka Stock

Tanaka CoLtd financial ratios help investors to determine whether Tanaka Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Tanaka with respect to the benefits of owning Tanaka CoLtd security.