Telephone And Data Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 18.57
| TDS Stock | USD 34.12 0.20 0.58% |
Telephone |
Telephone Target Price Odds to finish below 18.57
The tendency of Telephone Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 18.57 or more in 90 days |
| 34.12 | 90 days | 18.57 | about 1.93 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Telephone to drop to $ 18.57 or more in 90 days from now is about 1.93 (This Telephone and Data probability density function shows the probability of Telephone Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Telephone and Data price to stay between $ 18.57 and its current price of $34.12 at the end of the 90-day period is over 95.38 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.22 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Telephone will likely underperform. Additionally Telephone and Data has an alpha of 0.5052, implying that it can generate a 0.51 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Telephone Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Telephone
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Telephone and Data. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Telephone's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Telephone Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Telephone is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Telephone's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Telephone and Data, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Telephone within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.51 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.22 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.89 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.16 |
Telephone Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Telephone for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Telephone and Data can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Telephone and Data appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 5.16 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (487 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 2.85 B. | |
| Telephone and Data has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 92.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Telephone and Data Systems declares 0.04 dividend |
Telephone Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Telephone Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Telephone's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Telephone's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 113 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 236 M |
Telephone Technical Analysis
Telephone's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Telephone Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Telephone and Data. In general, you should focus on analyzing Telephone Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Telephone Predictive Forecast Models
Telephone's time-series forecasting models is one of many Telephone's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Telephone's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Telephone and Data
Checking the ongoing alerts about Telephone for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Telephone and Data help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Telephone and Data appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 5.16 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (487 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 2.85 B. | |
| Telephone and Data has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 92.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Telephone and Data Systems declares 0.04 dividend |
Additional Tools for Telephone Stock Analysis
When running Telephone's price analysis, check to measure Telephone's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Telephone is operating at the current time. Most of Telephone's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Telephone's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Telephone's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Telephone to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.