Techstep ASA (Norway) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 11.72
| TECH Stock | NOK 12.10 0.90 8.04% |
Techstep |
Techstep ASA Target Price Odds to finish below 11.72
The tendency of Techstep Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 11.72 or more in 90 days |
| 12.10 | 90 days | 11.72 | about 30.11 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Techstep ASA to drop to 11.72 or more in 90 days from now is about 30.11 (This Techstep ASA probability density function shows the probability of Techstep Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Techstep ASA price to stay between 11.72 and its current price of 12.1 at the end of the 90-day period is about 22.8 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Techstep ASA has a beta of 0.32. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Techstep ASA average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Techstep ASA will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Techstep ASA has an alpha of 0.0765, implying that it can generate a 0.0765 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Techstep ASA Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Techstep ASA
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Techstep ASA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Techstep ASA Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Techstep ASA is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Techstep ASA's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Techstep ASA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Techstep ASA within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.08 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.32 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.64 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0034 |
Techstep ASA Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Techstep ASA for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Techstep ASA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Techstep ASA had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Techstep ASA has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Techstep ASA has accumulated 97.36 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 13.7, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Techstep ASA has a current ratio of 0.88, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Techstep ASA until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Techstep ASA's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Techstep ASA sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Techstep to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Techstep ASA's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 1.31 B. Net Loss for the year was (103.05 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 459.79 M. | |
| About 40.0% of Techstep ASA outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Techstep ASA Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Techstep Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Techstep ASA's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Techstep ASA's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 79.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 44.2 M |
Techstep ASA Technical Analysis
Techstep ASA's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Techstep Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Techstep ASA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Techstep Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Techstep ASA Predictive Forecast Models
Techstep ASA's time-series forecasting models is one of many Techstep ASA's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Techstep ASA's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Techstep ASA
Checking the ongoing alerts about Techstep ASA for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Techstep ASA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Techstep ASA had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Techstep ASA has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Techstep ASA has accumulated 97.36 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 13.7, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Techstep ASA has a current ratio of 0.88, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Techstep ASA until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Techstep ASA's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Techstep ASA sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Techstep to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Techstep ASA's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 1.31 B. Net Loss for the year was (103.05 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 459.79 M. | |
| About 40.0% of Techstep ASA outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Techstep Stock
Techstep ASA financial ratios help investors to determine whether Techstep Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Techstep with respect to the benefits of owning Techstep ASA security.