TAG Immobilien (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 15.97
| TEG Stock | 15.97 0.22 1.40% |
TAG |
TAG Immobilien Target Price Odds to finish over 15.97
The tendency of TAG Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 15.97 | 90 days | 15.97 | about 35.53 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of TAG Immobilien to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 35.53 (This TAG Immobilien AG probability density function shows the probability of TAG Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon TAG Immobilien AG has a beta of -0.11. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding TAG Immobilien are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, TAG Immobilien AG is likely to outperform the market. Additionally TAG Immobilien AG has an alpha of 0.1594, implying that it can generate a 0.16 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). TAG Immobilien Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for TAG Immobilien
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as TAG Immobilien AG. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of TAG Immobilien's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
TAG Immobilien Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. TAG Immobilien is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the TAG Immobilien's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold TAG Immobilien AG, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of TAG Immobilien within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.16 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.11 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.62 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
TAG Immobilien Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of TAG Immobilien for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for TAG Immobilien AG can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 56.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
TAG Immobilien Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of TAG Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential TAG Immobilien's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. TAG Immobilien's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 146.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 94.1 M |
TAG Immobilien Technical Analysis
TAG Immobilien's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. TAG Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of TAG Immobilien AG. In general, you should focus on analyzing TAG Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
TAG Immobilien Predictive Forecast Models
TAG Immobilien's time-series forecasting models is one of many TAG Immobilien's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary TAG Immobilien's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about TAG Immobilien AG
Checking the ongoing alerts about TAG Immobilien for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for TAG Immobilien AG help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 56.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Additional Tools for TAG Stock Analysis
When running TAG Immobilien's price analysis, check to measure TAG Immobilien's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy TAG Immobilien is operating at the current time. Most of TAG Immobilien's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of TAG Immobilien's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move TAG Immobilien's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of TAG Immobilien to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.