Telenor ASA (Norway) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 94.98
| TEL Stock | NOK 132.10 1.50 1.15% |
Telenor |
Telenor ASA Target Price Odds to finish below 94.98
The tendency of Telenor Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 94.98 or more in 90 days |
| 132.10 | 90 days | 94.98 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Telenor ASA to drop to 94.98 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Telenor ASA probability density function shows the probability of Telenor Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Telenor ASA price to stay between 94.98 and its current price of 132.1 at the end of the 90-day period is about 69.64 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Telenor ASA has a beta of -0.23. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Telenor ASA are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Telenor ASA is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Telenor ASA has an alpha of 0.1159, implying that it can generate a 0.12 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Telenor ASA Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Telenor ASA
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Telenor ASA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Telenor ASA Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Telenor ASA is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Telenor ASA's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Telenor ASA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Telenor ASA within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.12 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.23 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.54 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
Telenor ASA Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Telenor ASA for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Telenor ASA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Telenor ASA has accumulated 107.71 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 4.94, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Telenor ASA has a current ratio of 0.69, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Telenor ASA until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Telenor ASA's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Telenor ASA sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Telenor to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Telenor ASA's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 54.0% of Telenor ASA outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Telenor ASA Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Telenor Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Telenor ASA's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Telenor ASA's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.4 B | |
| Dividends Paid | 13 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 10.3 B | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 8.8 | |
| Shares Float | 643 M |
Telenor ASA Technical Analysis
Telenor ASA's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Telenor Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Telenor ASA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Telenor Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Telenor ASA Predictive Forecast Models
Telenor ASA's time-series forecasting models is one of many Telenor ASA's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Telenor ASA's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Telenor ASA
Checking the ongoing alerts about Telenor ASA for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Telenor ASA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Telenor ASA has accumulated 107.71 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 4.94, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Telenor ASA has a current ratio of 0.69, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Telenor ASA until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Telenor ASA's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Telenor ASA sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Telenor to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Telenor ASA's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 54.0% of Telenor ASA outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Telenor Stock
Telenor ASA financial ratios help investors to determine whether Telenor Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Telenor with respect to the benefits of owning Telenor ASA security.