Templeton Global Smaller Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 10.22

TEMGX Fund  USD 10.15  0.05  0.49%   
Templeton Global's future price is the expected price of Templeton Global instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Templeton Global Smaller performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Templeton Global Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Templeton Global Correlation, Templeton Global Hype Analysis, Templeton Global Volatility, Templeton Global History as well as Templeton Global Performance.
  
Please specify Templeton Global's target price for which you would like Templeton Global odds to be computed.

Templeton Global Target Price Odds to finish over 10.22

The tendency of Templeton Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 10.22  or more in 90 days
 10.15 90 days 10.22 
about 21.6
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Templeton Global to move over $ 10.22  or more in 90 days from now is about 21.6 (This Templeton Global Smaller probability density function shows the probability of Templeton Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Templeton Global Smaller price to stay between its current price of $ 10.15  and $ 10.22  at the end of the 90-day period is about 17.15 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Templeton Global has a beta of 0.81. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Templeton Global average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Templeton Global Smaller will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Templeton Global Smaller has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Templeton Global Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Templeton Global

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Templeton Global Smaller. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.3410.1510.96
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.3310.1410.95
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.4710.2811.08
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.8310.1010.37
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Templeton Global. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Templeton Global's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Templeton Global's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Templeton Global Smaller.

Templeton Global Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Templeton Global is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Templeton Global's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Templeton Global Smaller, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Templeton Global within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.81
σ
Overall volatility
0.14
Ir
Information ratio -0.1

Templeton Global Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Templeton Global for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Templeton Global Smaller can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund generated three year return of -1.0%
Templeton Global Smaller maintains 95.65% of its assets in stocks

Templeton Global Technical Analysis

Templeton Global's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Templeton Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Templeton Global Smaller. In general, you should focus on analyzing Templeton Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Templeton Global Predictive Forecast Models

Templeton Global's time-series forecasting models is one of many Templeton Global's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Templeton Global's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Templeton Global Smaller

Checking the ongoing alerts about Templeton Global for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Templeton Global Smaller help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund generated three year return of -1.0%
Templeton Global Smaller maintains 95.65% of its assets in stocks

Other Information on Investing in Templeton Mutual Fund

Templeton Global financial ratios help investors to determine whether Templeton Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Templeton with respect to the benefits of owning Templeton Global security.
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