Terna Energy (Greece) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 19.60
| TENERGY Stock | EUR 19.80 0.01 0.05% |
Terna |
Terna Energy Target Price Odds to finish below 19.60
The tendency of Terna Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 19.60 or more in 90 days |
| 19.80 | 90 days | 19.60 | about 63.95 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Terna Energy to drop to € 19.60 or more in 90 days from now is about 63.95 (This Terna Energy Societe probability density function shows the probability of Terna Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Terna Energy Societe price to stay between € 19.60 and its current price of €19.8 at the end of the 90-day period is about 26.04 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Terna Energy has a beta of 0.0262. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Terna Energy average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Terna Energy Societe will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Terna Energy Societe has an alpha of 0.0385, implying that it can generate a 0.0385 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Terna Energy Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Terna Energy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Terna Energy Societe. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Terna Energy Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Terna Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Terna Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Terna Energy Societe, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Terna Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.03 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.21 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.4 |
Terna Energy Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Terna Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Terna Energy Societe can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Terna Energy Societe has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| The company reported the revenue of 405.41 M. Net Loss for the year was (22.2 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 149.52 M. | |
| About 55.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Terna Energy Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Terna Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Terna Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Terna Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 115.6 M |
Terna Energy Technical Analysis
Terna Energy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Terna Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Terna Energy Societe. In general, you should focus on analyzing Terna Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Terna Energy Predictive Forecast Models
Terna Energy's time-series forecasting models is one of many Terna Energy's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Terna Energy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Terna Energy Societe
Checking the ongoing alerts about Terna Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Terna Energy Societe help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Terna Energy Societe has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| The company reported the revenue of 405.41 M. Net Loss for the year was (22.2 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 149.52 M. | |
| About 55.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Additional Tools for Terna Stock Analysis
When running Terna Energy's price analysis, check to measure Terna Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Terna Energy is operating at the current time. Most of Terna Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Terna Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Terna Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Terna Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.