Tectonic Metals Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Under 0.0387

TETOF Stock  USD 0.04  0  11.43%   
Tectonic Metals' future price is the expected price of Tectonic Metals instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Tectonic Metals performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Tectonic Metals Backtesting, Tectonic Metals Valuation, Tectonic Metals Correlation, Tectonic Metals Hype Analysis, Tectonic Metals Volatility, Tectonic Metals History as well as Tectonic Metals Performance.
  
Please specify Tectonic Metals' target price for which you would like Tectonic Metals odds to be computed.

Tectonic Metals Target Price Odds to finish below 0.0387

The tendency of Tectonic OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 0.04  or more in 90 days
 0.04 90 days 0.04 
about 19.74
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Tectonic Metals to drop to $ 0.04  or more in 90 days from now is about 19.74 (This Tectonic Metals probability density function shows the probability of Tectonic OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Tectonic Metals price to stay between $ 0.04  and its current price of $0.039 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.95 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Tectonic Metals has a beta of 1.0. This usually implies Tectonic Metals market returns are reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Tectonic Metals is expected to follow. Additionally Tectonic Metals has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Tectonic Metals Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Tectonic Metals

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tectonic Metals. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.045.03
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.035.02
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.00080.045.03
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.040.040.04
Details

Tectonic Metals Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Tectonic Metals is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Tectonic Metals' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Tectonic Metals, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Tectonic Metals within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.19
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.00
σ
Overall volatility
0
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

Tectonic Metals Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Tectonic Metals for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Tectonic Metals can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Tectonic Metals had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Tectonic Metals has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Tectonic Metals has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (9.39 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Tectonic Metals has accumulated about 1.39 M in cash with (8.82 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01.
Roughly 16.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Tectonic Metals Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Tectonic OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Tectonic Metals' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Tectonic Metals' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding161.7 M

Tectonic Metals Technical Analysis

Tectonic Metals' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Tectonic OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Tectonic Metals. In general, you should focus on analyzing Tectonic OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Tectonic Metals Predictive Forecast Models

Tectonic Metals' time-series forecasting models is one of many Tectonic Metals' otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Tectonic Metals' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Tectonic Metals

Checking the ongoing alerts about Tectonic Metals for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Tectonic Metals help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Tectonic Metals had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Tectonic Metals has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Tectonic Metals has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (9.39 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Tectonic Metals has accumulated about 1.39 M in cash with (8.82 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01.
Roughly 16.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Tectonic OTC Stock

Tectonic Metals financial ratios help investors to determine whether Tectonic OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Tectonic with respect to the benefits of owning Tectonic Metals security.